Eric Zuesse
The statements, views and opinions expressed in this column are solely those of the author and do not necessarily represent those of this site. This site does not give financial, investment or medical advice.
Eric Zuesse
At present, coronavirus cases in U.S. are approximately doubling every 2 days, whereas in other countries the doubling rate is more like every 3 or 4 days. However, the coronavirus situation has been successfully stabilized in China, where there is now actually more concern about Chinese citizens catching the disease abroad than about their catching it in their own country.
Here are U.S. figures:
March 17 = 6,411
March 18 = 9,259
March 19 = 13,789
March 20 = 19,383
Here are figures in other countries:
Spain
March 17 = 11,409
March 18 = 13,716
March 19 = 17,147
March 20 = 19,980
Germany
March 17 = 8,061
March 18 = 11,333
March 19 = 12,307
March 20 = 18,608
Italy
March 17 = 31,506
March 18 = 35,713
March 19 = 41,035
March 20 = 47,021
UK
March 17 = 1,950
March 18 = 2,689
March 19 = 3,268
March 20 = 3,983
France
March 17 = 7,730
March 18 = 9,134
March 19 = 10,995
March 20 = 12,612
And here are a few other countries:
March 17 = 80,894
March 18 = 80,928
March 19 = 80,967
March 20 = 81,008
March 17 = 16,169
March 18 = 17,361
March 19 = 18,407
March 20 = 19,644
March 17 = 8,320
March 18 = 8,413
March 19 = 8,565
March 20 = 8,652
March 17 = 2,742
March 18 = 3,115
March 19 = 4,222
March 20 = 5,615
The countries where the new cases on March 22nd were the highest ratio to all existing cases were as follows, with that ratio being indicated here in parentheses, and the current total # of cases then being shown after that, are
Turkey (30%) 947
Luxembourg (28%) 484
U.S. (27%) 26,685
Pakistan (22%) 645
UK (21%) 5,018
Poland (21%) 536
Portugal (20%) 1,280
Israel (20%) 883
Chile (19%) 537
Switzerland (18%) 6,863
Netherlands (18%) 3,631
So, right now, those are the countries with the most dangerous rates of increase in coronavirus-19 cases. The situation is currently the worst in three countries: Turkey, Luxembourg, and U.S.
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Investigative historian Eric Zuesse is the author, most recently, of They’re Not Even Close: The Democratic vs. Republican Economic Records, 1910-2010, and of CHRIST’S VENTRILOQUISTS: The Event that Created Christianity.
The statements, views and opinions expressed in this column are solely those of the author and do not necessarily represent those of this site. This site does not give financial, investment or medical advice.
Duh!
It started in US last year called vaping disease.
Probably half the population have it.
Test
More people get higher numbers.
Hi distinctly remember our science teacher discussing this in the early to mid 60’s and saying that it came and went we did a presentation on it. The main part of the follow through was what we could do to lessen the effects of the virus. Moments like these you wish you kept your old school books.
It was already here. Hence the numbers. People are being interviewed who turn out to have had it, and actually were already fully recovered when lockdowns started. Especially in Washington state.
I wonder if the US is currently inserting into their reports the Covid-19 cases that maybe it has been hiding since the Fort Detrick closure and the subsequent ‘vaping’ & flu fatalities in Maryland from Aug 2019 onwards.
increase in detected cases relative to resistance to making an effort to detect. It’s bound to be high isn’t it.
As of 22 March, using the John Hopkins app, the confirmed US cases are 26,747. So in 5 days there have been more than 20,000 new cases (was 6411 on 17th)
Meanwhile in China, confirmed cases stand at 81,349. So in 5 days there have been just 455 new cases (was 80,894 on 17th)
Any guesses on how long it will take the US total to exceed China’s?
Your method had a flaw: it assumes that those people who tested positive contracted the disease within the last 5 days, when in fact, the illness was already here for a while… weeks? Months?? We don’t know because we were not testing until very recently. My kid’s doc says in my town there is a very low proportion of positive tests vs a very high proportion of tests administered over all. So in my town, the infection is probably just getting started. But a town that spikes a ton of positives on the first day of testing already had a… Read more »
The method is inadequate, as China passed its peak months ago whereas countries like the USA and UK are just reaching theirs now.
A lot of people are receiving a rapid education in basic arithmetic and statistics.
US response is a bit slow. Health Insurers haven’t had a chance to price collude yet.
Everyone wearing a mask would slow the rate of increase giving hospitals more time to cope. The Chinese are wearing masks.