The Current Situation in the Ukraine War

1 March 2025, by Eric Zuesse. (All of my recent articles can be seen here.)

The war in Ukraine is now at a critical point.

As all of the intelligent honest public analysts of the war in Ukraine — such as Scott Ritter, Douglas Macgregor, Brian Berletic, Alexander Mercouris, Alastair Crooke, “Moon of Alabama,” and “Simplicius76” — have predicted ever since Russia invaded Ukraine in February 2022, this is a war of attrition, which means that neither side in it will clearly be “winning” (or “likely win”) and “losing” (or “likely lose”) the war until finally there is no realistic possibility remaining, for those two tags on each of its sides to become switched. Though, in war, “It’s never over till it’s over,” there can be a long time before the victor and loser in a war have become virtually certain, on the one hand, and the final public declaration of those two tags, on the other. For example, once the Soviet Union had won the Battle of Kursk on 23 August 1943, there was no realistic possibility remaining for Germany to win, and thus WW2 in the West (and therefore almost certainly also in the East — Japan) was effectively won by The Allied side. (Even if the Battle at Stalingrad, which preceded Kursk, might have been an even bigger turning-point in the war, it did not decide the victory; Kursk did that.) We’ve not yet reached this point in the current global war, the one now between Russia versus America and its colonies (‘allies’) that until recently was being waging only in the battlefields of Ukraine but is now being carried out also in battlefields inside Russia itself — which change just might possibly turn what had, until that change, been looking increasingly likely to result in a Russian win and an American-empire loss, into an American-empire victory (America retaining its control over Ukraine, which control it had established on 20 February 2014, the day that Obama’s years of planning his coup to turn Ukraine into America’s beach-head for ultimately invading Russia, succeeded, and the war in Ukraine itself started).

On January 30th, I headlined “A Possible Turnabout in the Ukraine War”, and then on February 1st, I headlined “Why are even pro-Russian news-media NOT reporting this major news?”, because none of the 200+ news-media throughout the world, that I email each of my articles to, had published that one — either in The West (the U.S. empire), nor in The East (Russia and China, which the U.S. regime is trying to conquer — add to its empire). The story reported that “At least 11% of Russia’s total annual oil-refinery and storage capacity has been disabled by swarms of drones from Ukraine that have blown them up during the past two months.” It noted the likelihood that these extraordinarily successful military drones were manufactured in Ukraine but designed by the neoconservative-neoliberal U.S. multi-billionaire Peter Thiel’s Palantir and might now be giving Ukraine’s military the wonder-weapon that finally is turning the corner in this war toward a victory by the U.S. empire. Near the close of my February 1st article was “I’m not saying that these successful drone-attacks will continue, but only that, if they will, then the now-longstanding general expectation of this war ending in a victory by Russia might turn out to have been wrong.”

Well, it’s now a month later, and I find that there are additional credible news-reports of the successful continuance of these drone-attacks against crucial war-related Russian infrastructure. For example, on February 24th, David Axe of Forbes headlined “Ukrainian Drones Just Blew Up Another 5% Of Russia’s Oil Refining: The raid on Ryazan was at least the third major oil attack in a month.”, and reported that “Ukraine struck the Russian oil industry again on Sunday night or early Monday morning. Drones struck the Ryazan oil refinery in Ryazan Oblast, 100 miles south of Moscow and 300 miles from Ukraine.” On February 26th, Reuters headlined “Ukraine says it hit Russian oil refinery, Moscow says it downs 83 drones in southern region.”, and reported that, “The Ukrainian military said on Wednesday it had attacked Russia’s Tuapse oil refinery on the Black Sea coast and that at least 40 explosions had been recorded at the site. Tuapse is home to one of Russia’s biggest oil refineries, which has been targeted by Ukrainian drones several times before.”

Apparently, regardless of how this turnabout has happened, it is having staying-power — Russia is gradually losing vital energy-supplies for its military needs; and, so, the “attritting” is now two-way — not ONLY (like before) one-way. This war between Russia and the successor to Germany’s nazi regime (the rabidly anti-Jewish, and secondarily anti-Russian, original version of nazism — racist-fascist imperialism), which is, this time around, the war between Russia against America’s version of nazism (which is rabidly anti-Russian, but not at all anti-Jewish), hasn’t yet reached a Kursk-moment (any decisive, victory-determining, outcome); and, so, it conceivably could go either way.

Now both sides — the U.S.-and-‘allied’ side, and the Russian side — are becoming militarily worn down by the opposite side; so, predicting the war’s outcome, at the present time, is highly speculative, and will remain so unless and until Russia finds a way to halt Ukraine’s new-found stunning successes with drones: successes that, as-of yet, other reporters than I are not yet placing into the broader context that Ukraine’s new-found drone-successes belong in and ought to be reported as being a part of.

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On February 13th, I prematurely headlined “Russia has now won the war in Ukraine.”, because I presumed that the only way that America would be able to win its war against Russia was in alliance with its ‘allies’ (the existing U.S. colonies), but Trump has since made clear that “to the winner belong the spoils” of a war, and that therefore he doesn’t want to share with the rest of his international gang the “spoils” in Ukraine — he wants only America’s billionaires to get those takings. For examples: Peter Thiel’s Palantir donated in 2024 $1,000,000 to Trump’s “Make America Great Again”; and, of course, Elon Musk (whose “business empire is built on $38 billion in government funding”) gave Trump’s 2024 campaign $265 million. I can change my mind when I find that I had previously made a false assumption. Indeed, I am constantly seeking to find new evidences that will enable me to change my mind so as to conform even better to reality than my existing assumptions do. For example, the opening sentence of the “Introduction: Methodology” to my book CHRIST’S VENTRILOQUISTS: The Event that Created Christianity, is “Methodology is even more important than findings, because it determines the findings.” That statement (which is so profoundly contrary to popular beliefs) is my credo. (It guides me in everything I write.) The book’s entire investigation adheres 100% strictly to that credo. Many of the reader-comments at the Amazon site regarding that book complain about its being “repetitious,” because some of the key items of evidence cited in it are essential to numerous different assertions (conclusions) in my historical reconstruction of the event — the who, when, how, why, and what — that actually created this faith. (Before which creating-event, it did not exist, but, after which — and ever since then — it did and still does.) And, in order to be able to do this so as to meet the requirement of “proof beyond any reasonable doubt” (which is the standard for a criminal trial — it’s the strictest of all legal/forensic standards, and is therefore necessary to use in historically reconstructing ANY crucially important historical event), I had to make the case in the way that I did. I wasn’t trying to present conclusions that are entirely new (though many of my conclusions there are), but instead (and only) to make the most ironclad, 100% logically consistent, case, that is based on ALL of the relevant evidences — and ONLY those evidences — that historians of the subject, specialists in the HISTORY (and not necessarily in the theology) of the creation of this particular faith, view as having the very highest authenticity and solidest historical relevancy, regarding the earliest phase of the Christian faith, so as to become enabled to RECONSTRUCT, in as much detail as is possible today, that monumentally important event. Consequently, that book is written only for people who are willing to read it very carefully, and to think a lot about each clause in it (what its logical implications are, regarding other aspects of the book’s argument) — NOT for anyone who would try to “speed-read” it. It is a 100% logical reconstruction — based ONLY on the most-highly credible surviving documentary evidences, of the timeline of the specific events that led up to and produced the Christian faith and the New Testament that Paul’s Church finally canonized in the year 382.

But, anyway, given that Ukraine still continues to have successes at diminishing Russia’s energy-basis for its war against Russia, I believe that I was wrong, on February 13th, to think that  “Russia has now won the war in Ukraine.” The “Kursk moment” has not yet come — for EITHER side, in THIS war by Russia, against nazism.

PS: If you like this article, please email it to all your friends or otherwise let others know about it. None of the U.S.-and-allied ‘news’-media will likely publish it (nor link to it, since doing that might also hurt them with Google or etc.). I am not asking for money, but I am asking my readers to spread my articles far and wide, because I specialize in documenting what the Deep State is constantly hiding — what the ‘news’-media ignore if they can, and deny if they must. This is, in fact, today’s samizdat.

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Investigative historian Eric Zuesse’s latest book, AMERICA’S EMPIRE OF EVIL: Hitler’s Posthumous Victory, and Why the Social Sciences Need to Change, is about how America took over the world after World War II in order to enslave it to U.S.-and-allied billionaires. Their cartels extract the world’s wealth by control of not only their ‘news’ media but the social ‘sciences’ — duping the public.