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Lithuania fears military conflict

Belarus Interior Ministry troops soldiers take part in the qualifying examinations for the "Madder Beret" headdress outside Minsk, on October 22, 2013. Soldiers who pass the examinations receive a burgundy-coloured beret signifying they have been qualified as members of the Belarus Interior Ministry elite Special Forces. AFP PHOTO / VIKTOR DRACHEVVIKTOR DRACHEV/AFP/Getty Images

Belarus, where political protests do not subside, keeps European countries “awake” during last several weeks. The fact that Lithuania–Belarus border is almost 679 km in length gives Vilnius cause to worry.

Lithuania does not only simply follow the situation in Belarus, but to some extent tries to influence Belarus population putting itself in danger.

On the one hand, Lithuanian authorities openly support Belarus opposition leader Svetlana Tikhanovskaya who left Belarus for Lithuania, on the other hand, Vilnius is afraid of open military conflict with the neighbouring country.

As certain units of the Belarusian Armed Forces are placed on full alert during the third stage of checking the army readiness that began on Monday, Lithuanian Prime Minister Saulius Skvernelis said on Tuesday that “he hopes that the balance of power in the region will not allow a “crazy catastrophe” to occur.” The Prime Minister even said that Lithuania should expect more provocations from the neighboring state. “We must be ready to ensure the security of our country,” said Skvernelis.

Lithuanian Foreign Minister Linas Linkevicius in his turn accused the authorities in a neighbouring country of “disrespect for their people.”

Such statements of Lithuanian officials were called inappropriate and taken with great surprise not only in Belarus, but also in Russia.

“Statements by Foreign Minister of Lithuania Linas Linkevicius on the situation in Belarus are truly perplexing,” Russian Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Maria Zakharova said on August, 25. “We have to note that undisguised interference in the affairs of this neighbouring state has become routine for Vilnius, which is actively working with representatives of the so-called Russian non-systemic opposition. But it is important to remember that striving to extinguish a fire by pouring kerosene on it can be very dangerous, including for those who root for such technological experiments,” she noted.

This can be regarded as a direct indication that Russia fully supports Aleksandr Lukashenko and under certain circumstances could support Belarus not only by statements but by its troops.

The deployment of Russian military in Belarus is the main fear not only of Lithuania. The EU and even China also admit such a possibility. China’s Huánqiú Shíbào daily newspaper called several reasons for the entry of Russian troops to Belarus. Firstly, it is a coup d’etat in Belarus and the rise to power of anti-government forces backed by Europe and the United States, which would force Russia to strike. Secondly, it is the continuing suppression of Russia’s strategic space by Europe and the United States, which will also force it to retaliate. And thirdly, if the leader of Belarus asks to send troops.

That is why Lithuania’s call to collapse the political regime in Belarus could turn into “crazy catastrophe” and provoke Belarus and Russia to use their military forces. This scenario is least desirable both for Lithuania and Belarus.

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The statements, views and opinions expressed in this column are solely those of the author and do not necessarily represent those of The Duran.

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August 27, 2020

Only ‘Slither-uania’ will shit themselves if Russia sends troops to Belarus to protect the people’s government and security of the people of Belarus. This can be beneficial for the Belarusian people, as it gives them the peace of mind that Russia cares for their safety and stability of govt.

Olivia Kroth
August 27, 2020

If Lithuania fears military conflict, they should stop pestering Belarus. It is as simple as that. The Lithuanians seem to be scared hares but with a loud mouth. Cowardly braggarts.

Reply to  Olivia Kroth
August 27, 2020

Exactly, they spend all their political points, pissing on the other side of the fence and making their own population of Russian descent miserable. A provocateur expects to be attacked. Useless

Olivia Kroth
Reply to  Ugh...
August 27, 2020

The Lithuanians suffer from an eternal inferiority complex, because they are a small, poor and very unimportant country. A failed state. If I may borrow President Trumps flowery speech, I might even call it a “shithole country”. Please pardon my French.

peter mcloughlin
August 27, 2020

Indeed there are precedences in history where nations have ended up fighting the very war they sought to avoid – their own defeat.

August 27, 2020

Lithuania is just a shitty little Nazi country that holds really nice big SS rallies every year. It is run by rabid Neocon dual nationals parachuted in by the US State Department. Since it gained independence the population has fallen from 3.7 to 2.7 million, a depopulated backwater hollowed out by years of neoliberal looting. Lithuanians of Russian heritage born in the country are denied passports, the right to vote, and the right to hold any government job. If Linkivicius is concerned about human rights, he should put his own house in order instead of sticking his ugly Nazi snout… Read more »

Olivia Kroth
Reply to  paul
August 28, 2020

The same as in Latvia, Paul. These two failed states are brothers in shame.

Last edited 8 months ago by Olivia Kroth
August 28, 2020

I think that armed conflicts are anyone’s desire. Hope they’ll be able to help people without provocing conflicts.

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