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Ukraine Wants Nuclear Weapons: Will the West Bow to the Regime in Kiev?

Authored by Federico Pieraccini via The Strategic Culture Foundation:


The former Ukrainian envoy to NATO, Major General Petro Garashchuk, recently stated in an interview with Obozrevatel TV:

“I’ll say it once more. We have the ability to develop and produce our own nuclear weapons, currently available in the world, such as the one that was built in the former USSR and which is now in independent Ukraine, located in the city of Dnipro (former Dnipropetrovsk) that can produce these kinds of intercontinental ballistic missiles. Neither the United States, nor Russia, nor China have produced a missile named Satan … At the same time, Ukraine does not have to worry about international sanctions when creating these nuclear weapons.”

The issue of nuclear weapons has always united the great powers, especially following the signing of the Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT). The decision to reduce the number of nuclear weapons towards the end of the Cold War went hand in hand with the need to prevent the spread of such weapons of mass destruction to other countries in the best interests of humanity. During the final stages of the Cold War, the scientific community expended great effort on impressing upon the American and Soviet leadership how a limited nuclear exchange would wipe out humanity. Moscow and Washington thus began START (Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty) negotiations to reduce the risk of a nuclear winter. Following the dissolution of the USSR, the Budapest Memorandum on Security Assurances persuaded Ukraine to relinquish its nuclear weapons and accede to the NPT in exchange for security assurances from its signatories.

Ukraine has in recent years begun entertaining the possibility of returning to the nuclear fold, especially in light of North Korea’s recent actions. Kim Jong-un’s lesson seems to be that a nuclear deterrent remains the only way of guaranteeing complete protection against a regional hegemon. The situation in Ukraine, however, differs from that of North Korea, including in terms of alliances and power relations. Kiev’s government came into power as a result of a coup d’etat carried out by extremist nationalist elements who seek their inspiration from Nazi collaborator Stepan Bandera. The long arm of NATO has always been deeply involved in the dark machinations that led to Poroshenko’s ascendency to the Ukrainian presidency. From a geopolitical point of view, NATO’s operation in Ukraine (instigating a civil war in the wake of a coup) follows in the footsteps of what happened in Georgia. NATO tends to organize countries with existing anti-Russia sentiments to channel their Russophobia into concrete actions that aim to undermine Moscow. The war in the Donbass is a prime example.

However, Ukraine has been unable to subdue the rebels in the Donbass region, the conflict freezing into a stalemate and the popularity of the Kiev government falling as the population’s quality of life experiences a precipitous decline. The United States and the European Union have not kept their promises, leaving Poroshenko desperate and tempted to resort to provocations like the recent Kerch strait incident or such as those that are apparently already in the works, as recently reported by the DPR authorities.

The idea of Ukraine resuming its production of nuclear weapons is currently being floated by minor figures, but it could take hold in the coming months, especially if the conflict continues in its frozen state and Kiev becomes frustrated and desperate. The neoconservative wing of the American ruling elite, absolutely committed to the destruction of the Russian Federation, could encourage Kiev along this path, in spite of the incalculable risks involved. The EU, on the other hand, would likely be terrified at the prospect, which would also place it between a rock and a hard place. Kiev, on one side, would be able to extract from the EU much needed economic assistance in exchange for not going nuclear, while on the other side the neocons would be irresponsibly egging the Ukrainians on.

Moscow, if faced with such a possibility, would not just stand there. In spite of Russia having good relations with North Korea, it did not seem too excited at the prospect of having a nuclear-armed neighbor. With Ukraine, the response would be much more severe. A nuclear-armed Ukraine would be a red line for Moscow, just as Crimea and Sevastopol were. It is worth remembering the Russian president’s words when referring to the possibility of a NATO invasion of Crimea during the 2014 coup:

“We were ready to do it [putting Russia’s nuclear arsenal on alert]. Russian people live there, they are in danger, we cannot leave them. It was not us who committed to coup, it was the nationalists and people with extreme beliefs. I do not think this is actually anyone’s wish – to turn it into a global conflict.”

As Kiev stands on the precipice, it will be good for the neocons, the neoliberals and their European lackeys to consider the consequences of advising Kiev to jump or not. Giving the nuclear go-ahead to a Ukrainian leadership so unstable and detached from reality may just be the spark that sets off Armageddon.

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The statements, views and opinions expressed in this column are solely those of the author and do not necessarily represent those of The Duran.

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Tom Welsh
Tom Welsh
December 14, 2018

Of course there is no possibility of Ukraine acquiring nuclear weapons. The moment its many highly professional intelligence agencies detected any such work, the US government would immediately prevent it – as it did with the nuclear programmes of Israel, India and Pakistan. (And the non-existent nuclear programme of Iran).

Normski1
Reply to  Tom Welsh
December 14, 2018

Are you sure Israel, India and Pakistan don’t have / aren’t developing nuclear weapons?. Israel’s nukes are the worst kept secret in history!.

Joe
Joe
Reply to  Normski1
December 14, 2018

He’s being sarcastic.

Vera Gottlieb
Vera Gottlieb
Reply to  Tom Welsh
December 14, 2018

Tongue in cheek, right?

Cudwieser
Cudwieser
Reply to  Vera Gottlieb
December 15, 2018

Tongue through cheek (almost) https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dZ0qDstfEIw

Cudwieser
Cudwieser
December 14, 2018

Ukraine has 4 nuclear weapons. They’d have 5 if Chernobyl hadn’t went up.

In all seriousness though the only nuclear processors Ukraine have are ex-soviet power plants which were built to russian spec and standards of the time. So much so that to use effectively the fuel rods need to be of russian design, something the Ukraine refuses to use and has now discovered to problems of messing with non-compatable resources. It is possible for the Ukraine to make an effective nuke, but the risks they place on themselves is immense and the likelihood of Chernobyl 2.0 is very likely.

Normski1
December 14, 2018

That’s all we need – a nuclear armed Ukraine with Poroshenko leading the way!. Armageddon here we come!.

veth
veth
Reply to  Normski1
December 18, 2018

Ukraine has the legal right for these weapons !

Stunned_at_Sunset
Stunned_at_Sunset
December 14, 2018

We shouldn’t even be HAVING this discussion. Petro Poroshenko is a nutcase and everyone on the planet knows it! He’s just tried to provoke Russia into a naval engagement like a one-legged man in an A__-kicking contest!

Raymond Comeau
Raymond Comeau
Reply to  Stunned_at_Sunset
December 15, 2018

You are 100% correct. But, remember Petro Poroshenko is another USA Puppet and the USA will do most anything to arm their puppets against Russia, China, Iran, and Syria!

Blue Pilgrim
Blue Pilgrim
December 14, 2018

The West is immaterial in this; Russia could not and would not permit it, as a major existential threat, as well as the abrogation of treaties. That’s assuming Ukraine even has the personnel and capability to make one any more. If another country gave them one Ukraine would not have time to even untie the ribbon on the box. It’s not just a red line but a red wall. Whatever Russia would do to stop it would be no greater risk than permitting it. Consider risk analysis of Russia’s actions at Kerch in comparison.

Raymond Comeau
Raymond Comeau
Reply to  Blue Pilgrim
December 15, 2018

Let us hope so.

Vera Gottlieb
Vera Gottlieb
December 14, 2018

Preventing the proliferation of nuclear weapons…just ink on paper???

fred
fred
Reply to  Vera Gottlieb
December 16, 2018

that actually means countries with nuclear weapons are not allowed to give them to countries that don’t have them
NK was never in violation
the US probably is by stationing nuclear weapons in europe

Guy
Guy
December 15, 2018

So when are we going to see sanctions on Kiev ?

voza0db
voza0db
Reply to  Guy
December 15, 2018

That was funny!

voza0db
voza0db
December 15, 2018

I’m sure the USofT and the European Communist Union will Finance and Support the nukes for them!

Clarc King
December 15, 2018

Ukraine can’t be given nuclear weapons, they’re crazy, the nation is imploding, shooting their own soldiers over offensives attempted on Donbass, whatever, they’re not a stable nation. Ukraine is a big mistake not in the interests of the United States. The Neocons are of Russian and Jewish descent, or descendants of Jews of the Pale, they are not what we think they are. If they are bent on settling old scores with Russia, it should be disclosed and they should not be in charge of US Foreign Policy that kills too many people as it is.

Terry
Terry
December 15, 2018

“Following the dissolution of the USSR, the Budapest Memorandum on Security Assurances persuaded Ukraine to relinquish its nuclear weapons….” It should be remembered that the ICBM’s left in Ukraine in 1991 were targeted at the US and controlled from Moscow.They were not a threat to Russia but to the US and indirectly Europe, should Ukraine sell the warheads. That is why the US wanted the Budapest Memorandum. It has also been claimed that it would have taken 12-18 months for Ukraine to have established control of the weapons but even then, the 5000-10,000 km range of the ICBMs would have… Read more »

fred
fred
December 16, 2018

The idea of Ukraine resuming its production of nuclear weapons is currently being floated by minor figures,
and the US taxpayer will have to pay for this

fred
fred
December 16, 2018

looks like the NAZIS will finally get nuclear weapons

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