Trump’s Weakness Spells Disaster | Col. Larry Wilkerson & Scott Ritter (Thatcherism in the EU, Military, Oil, Intelligence)

I keep writing about the right-wing push in the EU and Thatcherism taking hold — essentially, the Americanization of the EU. I didn’t know that one of the right-wing politicians in Germany was a former CEO of BlackRock, but it makes sense.

People think the AfD will somehow help Germany—ffs, even Elon Musk supports it — so it’s basically the same as having a former CEO of BlackRock. These people want to Americanize the EU, which means dismantling welfare and eliminating the last vestiges of socialism in the West which provide a good standard of living for average people — systems they oppose because they cut into oligarchs’ profits.

I see that Col. Larry Wilkerson has now come to the same realization.

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“I think it’s good to understand what does winning mean in the eyes of these people? Is Russia militarily weaker than it was before the conflict started, as you mentioned? How about their economy? How about the way that they have been improving their relationship or their partnership with other nations within BRICS?

Maybe they’re thinking that the disconnection between Russia and Germany would be a win for the United States. I would argue even in that case, that wasn’t a win because the way that Germany is losing and their economy is getting worse is not in favor of even an alliance like NATO.

You have people right now—I was on a webinar, actually, I was on two different webinars—coming to relatively the same conclusions. You have people right now like the former CEO of BlackRock. Yes, Neema, the former CEO of BlackRock, who is most likely to be the new chancellor of Germany, and his mantra is going to be to create even more billionaires. His economist, who will probably be his economics minister, thinks that’s good.

So you have a Germany developing that is completely out of sync with the majority of the German people, whether they be actually identified with AfD, the smaller party, or whatever. And it’s not going to last. It’s not going to last any longer than, say, a year or two if CDU is elected or if the coalition they build puts Merz in there as the minister.

Can you imagine? I know you remember Schröder. I think Schröder went off. The guy—George Bush—said “F you” in the Oval Office because Schröder told him in the Oval Office that he would not oppose the war, he would not participate, and he would not politically be speaking positively about it. But he told him he would not speak negatively about it either. He would not criticize the president.

He went right back to Germany and criticized the president, and that’s when Bush said “F you” to Schröder. He didn’t want anything to do with Schröder, and Powell had to manage the US-German account for the entire four years of Bush’s first term because Bush hated Schröder. Well, Schröder went off to Gazprom. Now we’ve got the former CEO of BlackRock who’s apt to be the new chancellor of Germany.

This just doesn’t compute—not with what’s happening in Europe in particular, and what’s happening to Germany. I listened to this economist who’s maybe going to be his economics minister, and the guy is totally out of touch with the German people. It’s just that the German parties have not got their act together to act in concert with regard to these particular issues.

But to think that they won with these people coming in and rapaciously creating more billionaires and making the wealth disparity even greater—maybe even equaling our own in the empire, which is disastrous right now—and expecting to run Germany in a way that the rest of the German people, and indeed all of Europe, won’t eventually object to in a very strenuous way, is nonsense. And yet, that’s what I’m hearing. That’s what I’m hearing from otherwise supposedly intelligent people.”

Unfortunately, I think Col. Larry Wilkerson missed one major point: immigration. I’ve said before that the immigration crisis was intentionally created in both the U.S. and the EU. I’ve written many times that this crisis was engineered on purpose, and now they’ve ensured that only right-wing parties acknowledge the issue.

In this way, if you want to address the immigration crisis, you are automatically associated with right-wing economic policies. This is not accidental — it’s intentional. They create crises and ensure that only parties pushing the structural changes they want — essentially, Thatcherism in Europe — are seen as having solutions. I don’t think Col. Larry Wilkerson sees this aspect of their plan. So, while the European people oppose these economic policies, they will have to assign to those economic policies if they want to fight against the immigration crisis.

I’m terrified of the stupidity of people in Europe. People don’t even understand what Col. Larry Wilkerson is talking about, let alone the angle I’m writing about here. I fear they will vote for this, and we will end up Americanizing Europe. And people will think they are finally free.

Like I’ve written before — to all you right-wing morons — you will be free. Free like those “free” Americans. And just like them, you’ll be free to work two jobs just to survive. You’ll be free to die on the street, just like those “free” Americans.

I’ve touched on this in many of my previous posts, such as:

Catherine Austin Fitts — Using Bitcoin and Stablecoins to Expand Dollar Dominance with Whitney Webb (Digital AI, Digital Money, AI, Economic Crises, and the Americanization of Europe)

“Hitler Was a Communist!” – Elon & German Politician Alice Weidel w/ Col. Douglas Macgregor (My Rant: People Are Too Stupid, I Want to Give Up)

I would also recommend watching this video, though I don’t fully agree with it because it’s a communist video. As I’ve said many times, I am not a communist — I am a national socialist and a social democrat. However, this video does a good job of illustrating the AfD and the right-wing push in Europe, particularly the Thatcherism I keep talking about and its connection to the migrant crisis.

The AfD is an oligarchic, right-wing, Thatcherite, and Zionist organization. I find it ironic that right-wing supporters of Nazism support the AfD, even though it is a Zionist organization.

While I don’t agree fully with this video, it still provides a lot of interesting information, especially if you are German. I love the part where that stupid woman from the AfD calls Hitler a communist, while a huge sign at a Nazi rally reads, "Marxism must die so the nation can be reborn."

But of course, Hitler was a socialist — not just a socialist, a communist! FFS, how can people be so stupid? Nazi supporters will vote for the AfD without realizing it is a Zionist tool.

Scott Ritter/military

I also want to touch on what Scott Ritter said, but first, I want to clarify that I don’t agree with him on a lot of things. I align much more with Col. Larry Wilkerson. In my opinion, Scott Ritter is not objective and has bought too much into Russian propaganda, especially regarding the military — which is strange, considering he was part of the military himself. I know people will attack me for saying this and disagree with my military views, but let me explain.

In my opinion, even without U.S. support, the EU could defeat Russia militarily. Scott Ritter would laugh at me for saying that, and I know many people in the comments would as well, but hear me out. Just look at the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan — Western armies are almost entirely based on air superiority. Over 50% of our military strength comes from our air force, which we are not using and cannot use in Ukraine.

People will mention the F-16 — FFS, it’s the cheapest and weakest Western plane we have. It was designed as a low-cost aircraft meant to fly only after our main fighters had already established air superiority. Now, we’re sending old versions of the F-16 that were about to be scrapped anyway. If anyone thinks this represents Western military strength, I don’t know what to say.

I know Russia has the best air defense systems in the world in terms of cost efficiency, but that doesn’t change much. People act like the S-500 and other systems are some kind of magic weapons — if that were true, how was Ukraine able to carry out a drone strike in Moscow? Russia’s air defense is very good, like I said, the best cost-effective system in the world, but it’s not invincible.

I’ve written before that if the EU were to deploy its entire air force against Russia, Russia would be destroyed. But that will never happen. NATO and Western military decision-makers aren’t stupid. They know, just as I do, that if Russia saw a real Western air force operating over its territory, it would be forced to use a tactical nuclear weapon in Ukraine immediately. A Western air force presence would threaten Russia’s nuclear capabilities, and they couldn’t risk that. That’s why, if Ukraine were somehow winning — which, of course, is impossible — Russia would be forced to use nukes, and that would be the end of the conflict.

You cannot win a conventional war against a nuclear power because they can always use nukes to stop the conflict. That’s also why talk of NATO peacekeepers in Ukraine isn’t about fighting Russia — it’s about taking control over Ukraine. NATO troops, and especially the NATO air force, engaging Russia would almost certainly result in Russia using nuclear weapons, and the West knows it. That’s why I’m not afraid of NATO forces engaging Russia — not because NATO would lose, but because it would end in nuclear war, and everyone knows it.

By the way, all this talk about Russia having more military production than the West ignores the fact that most Western weapons production is focused on air force weaponry — missiles and bombs for planes. Since those can’t be used in Ukraine, it creates an imbalance. That’s why the West wanted to send F-16s in the first place — because we’re running low on artillery ammunition. Our military isn’t based on artillery; it’s based on air power.

Look at how many missiles and bombs the West produces for its air force compared to Russia. Russia isn’t mass-producing bombs and air-launched rockets the way the West does. Instead, they are mostly modifying old Soviet stockpiles, like turning Soviet bombs into gliding bombs. Those aren’t new weapons being manufactured; they’re just repurposed Soviet-era munitions.

Scott Ritter/oil

While I don’t agree with Scott Ritter’s military assessment, he said something really smart regarding oil production:

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“Video to Doas in which he was saying that he would put pressure on Saudi Arabia and MBS to reduce the price of oil, and that would consequently influence the Russian economy. The Russian economy would influence the decision of Vladimir Putin, and it goes on and on in his calculation.

Do you find that a simplistic way of thinking about the conflict in Ukraine?

Yeah, anybody with a brain would. Look, Donald Trump is a transactional person. He thinks everything comes down to transaction and greed because he's a man who has no principle, no moral foundation, no ideology other than money. He can't understand a nation that was willing to sacrifice so much to achieve a result that truly impacts them.

The Russians didn’t go to war in Ukraine lightly. This is a big deal for them. This is about NATO expansion, about the future of Russia, about preserving Russian cultural heritage—everything. Russia is not going to give up all of that because Donald Trump got the price of oil to go to $45 a barrel.

Again, it just shows how stupid Donald Trump is and how stupid his advisors are. Right now, I think the price of oil is about $78 a barrel—that’s low. The break-even point for Saudi Arabia is about $85—that’s what they need to balance their budget. So Saudi Arabia right now is basically living off of their savings in order to do the United States and the world a favor during a political season where we didn’t want gas prices to go up too much.

The break-even point for Russian oil is about $41 a barrel—that’s what it costs to produce. Russia needs oil up around $70, maybe $75, to balance their budget. But to continue to produce oil, Russia needs it above $41—that’s about the average cost of a barrel out of the ground. As long as it’s above $41, Russia can continue to produce oil economically. They aren’t going to sell enough or make enough to balance their budget, but they can continue to produce oil.

For Saudi Arabia, the cost for a barrel is around $10. They can bring that price down as much as they want, and Saudi Arabia is still going to be able to produce oil. But here’s the problem—the United States. Since 2020, all of America's oil growth comes from the Permian Basin of West Texas. All of our new wells are there. The break-even point for an existing Permian Basin well is around $33, so if oil is at $45, they can still make some money. But for new wells, all of our new production, the average break-even point is $66.

If you drop the price of oil below $50, I'm a Marine, and math isn’t my thing, but $45 is lower than $50. You collapse the new oil production market in the United States. Within two years, we’ll lose 30% of our oil production.

Donald Trump is just stupid. Does he really think that West Texas oilmen, especially the wildcatters, have poured in their entire future, gambled everything on the promise of market stability made by the US government—that oil would be kept between $76 and $80 a barrel—so now they can say, “Okay, we can go ahead and put in these wells and start production to recoup our money”?

He thinks he’s just going to go in and drop oil? Russia can produce oil forever. Saudi Arabia can produce oil forever. The United States can't produce oil forever. If we keep oil at $45 a barrel for two years, our oil economy collapses. We have people who will lose everything. And when the West Texas economy collapses, the American economy collapses.

Donald Trump is dumber than a box of bricks if he thinks this is a strategy that works.

Didn’t he learn from the last time he played stupid games? This is what could happen: as the price lowers, the Saudis and the Russians just keep pumping oil out. Now you have low oil, you have a glut, and the price shrinks even lower. It could drop down to $21. The Saudis keep going to $10. Certain oil fields in Russia can produce oil at $12. They’ll just keep pushing oil on the market.

And you know what happens to all the American money? It loses all value. In fact, to own a barrel of oil costs you money because there’s no storage. So having oil doesn’t make you money—it costs you money. That’s what happened back in 2020. The price of oil went from $30 a barrel to negative $18 a barrel.

Is that really the game that Donald Trump is ready to play?

Let me just say something to Donald Trump and his advisors right now: Saudi Arabia and Russia know the oil production business better than you do. Donald Trump is a New York state real estate guy. He ain’t Rex Tillerson. He’s not any of these other oil men.

Bring an oil man into your business before you start talking stupidity. Fire Keith Kellogg now. The man doesn’t know anything about anything. He looked good on Fox TV, and I guess he whispered sweet nothings in your ear, but he knows nothing about nothing. Get rid of him because he’s going to destroy the credibility of your administration.”

Funny enough, Scott Ritter is a military person, but I don’t agree with his military assessment of the situation. However, on the other hand, I agree 100% with his oil and economic point of view. I think he is spot on regarding this. People don’t know much about oil. Everyone speaks about how much oil other countries have, but what they forget or don’t know is that the most important factor is the cost at which this oil can be extracted. The Saudis are kings of oil, not because of how much oil they have (for example, Venezuela has larger oil reserves than the Saudis), but because their oil is located just a few meters underground, making it cheap to produce. In the past, the Saudis could literally drill a small well, and it would fill with oil because it was so close to the surface. On the other hand, new oil fields in the US are deep underground, and the cost of extracting this oil is much higher. So, as Scott Ritter said, if you push oil prices too low, much of Western oil production becomes too expensive to be profitable.

In the end, I would like to say something about why we are in such a position. The problem with our society is believing in authority and attacking intelligence. I’ve written many times that I figured out almost 20 years ago that most of what we are told is a lie. While I followed geopolitics to find out the truth, I spent a lot of my time studying philosophy, psychology, and behaviorism to understand how propaganda works and how they were able to build the entire world based on lies and make people believe them. Because even if I can prove using physics that the official story about the JFK assassination or 9/11 is not true, it doesn’t matter because people will still believe the official story and not the truth. I ask myself, what’s the point of finding more examples like JFK or 9/11 since, even if the laws of physics can’t convince people of objective truth, there’s no point in finding more such examples. I decided I need to understand the human mind to break the spell they put on the population through propaganda and brainwashing. So, while I know a lot about many things, if I had to say what my specialty is, I would argue it’s the human mind.

I am no one. I have no education, no career, no authority, no partner, and I am a complete loner with almost no friends and avoid people. I don’t party, and I spend most of my time educating myself out of curiosity. To quote one of my heroes, Einstein: “I have no special talents. I am only passionately curious.” I always call myself a loser, but that doesn’t matter because when I tell people what I know and that others are wrong, I get attacked. People instantly get defensive, thinking I believe I am better than them. I wrote before that if you think you are better than others because you are smarter, you are not truly intelligent, you are intellectual, which is completely different. I was born smart, but being truly smart is not something nice. Most people don’t understand what it means to be truly intelligent.

“I swear to you that to think too much is a disease, a real, actual disease.” — Dostoevsky, Notes From The Underground and the Condition of 19th Century Man.

Please don’t think that just because I point out that Col. Larry Wilkerson or Scott Ritter are wrong that it means that I think I am better than them. I am only smart and know a lot, but I am no one, and I am a complete loser.

I write all of this because God gave me this intelligence for some reason. I was lucky that God gave me a good family, a good life, and good health, and I want to thank Him for all He has given me by helping His work as I see it. I see God in my own way. I don’t believe Jesus was the son of God, but I believe Jesus was a great man who spoke about the true God—the same God that Socrates believed in, the God of Truth and Knowledge. So, I am trying to spread truth and knowledge to free people.

“Knowledge will make you be free.”/”And ye shall know the truth and the truth shall make you free”

― Socrates/John 8:32

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“Knowledge isn't free. You have to pay attention.”

― Richard P. Feynman

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“Freedom is not free, you need to pay attention.”

― Grzegorz Ochman

"I stand up to fight, as before, against the main evil of the state: the rule of spoiled parties and factions over Poland, forgetting about the immaterial values, and remembering only about money and personal gain."

― Description: In an interview for "Kurier Poranny" about the coup that was supposed to be carried out by Piłsudski, reading from May 11, 1926.

“I stood up to fight because a former MP means nothing... (…) I cannot bear that such a gang of former MPs remains unpunished and corrupts the morality of Poland… This impunity of that cursed cattle is ruining the entire state… I will shoot them like dogs if the courts do not judge them.”

― Description: Józef Piłsudski about the MPs of the then-opposition.

“In life, there are things more important than life itself.”

― Józef Piłsudski