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The Pessimist’s guide to Donald Trump

Here’s your point by point analysis of why I encourage optimism when it comes to President Donald Trump

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Many people who are on the right side of the multi-polarity debate are worried about Trump’s relationship to many countries and global issues.

With that in mind, here is your Pessimists Guide to Donald Trump.

China

Right now China holds the American economy by a vice for two reasons: 1. The American market place is heavily reliant on Chinese manufacturing of Chinese products and products owned by American and European companies. 2. American and Chinese currencies are inter-dependent.

Because of this, no amount of rhetoric can fundamentally change the fact that China and America will not go to war whether a hot war or a trade war. Both countries need each other, at least for now.

What is at stake is the nature of business relations between the two countries. America has allowed herself to be at the receiving end of poor deals, and China like any other economic-superpower with wise political leaders, has taken advantage of that.

Trump has articulated this sentiment time and time again when praising shrewd Chinese business practices whilst insulting American negotiators.

Donald Trump’s appointment of Terry Branstad as US Ambassador to China, a personal friend of President Xi Jinping, sends a clear message:  the US will communicate with China in a friendly, familiar voice.

Trump’s words about the One China Policy being up for negotiation is most likely rhetoric to be used as leverage in future negotiations.

Neither Beijing nor Taipei actually want conflict, and this becomes increasingly true with every passing year.

Military parades and other build-ups are nothing but the visual analogue of Trump’s ‘up for negotiation’ rhetoric.

Because Chinese Taipei’s rulers separated from the mainland during a civil war, one cannot compare its status with those of formerly foreign controlled parts of China, such as Hong Kong and Macau. In this sense, a global two-China policy may become the reality over the next decades. In the Middle East such a concept is called a ‘two-state solution’.

Crucially I do not think Trump will use the South China Sea territorial disputes as leverage in negotiations. I think he’ll wisely stick to dollars and cents and leave the South China Sea issues to be negotiated by the effected parties. So far they’ve done a better job last year than in all previous years.

The ace in the deck of cards when it comes to US-Chinese relations is Jack Ma. The Alibaba founder has promised to create one million jobs in America. He also said that if America didn’t waste so much money on wars and the tools of war, it could have focused more on internal job creation and economic growth.

Ma talks like Trump and I believe that Ma could well exercise an un-official or semi-official role as China’s trade emissary to America.

China and America both talk tough, but I believe cooperation is on the horizon, far more so than under previous US administrations.

Iran

Donald Trump has made it clear that he’s no great fan of The Islamic Republic, but name me one US President who was? Many worry about the possibility of the US instigating a regime change war on Iran, but even if the more hawkish people surrounding Trump wanted to do so, it is incredibly unlikely that such a thing would happen.

If George W. Bush and Barack Obama, the twin-emperors of regime change, didn’t touch Iran, what makes one think that Captain American First would do so?

If America made war upon Iran, because of Iran’s deep involvement in Shi’a regions of Iraq and elsewhere in the Shi’a Arab world, it would be a massive regional war involving many Arab states and foreign irregulars in addition to Iran’s formidable armed forces.

There is simply no will to do this. Many in America might even be secretly embarrassed that in spite of America’s technologically sophisticated military apparatus, the likelihood is that any war on Iran is a war that America would lose, and lose badly.

Like with China, Trump is more critical of Obama’s poor negotiating skills than he is with the Iran deal itself.

The best thing for both America and Iran is to ignore each other whenever possible.

Unlike with China and the US who are interdependent in many ways, Iran and America do not need each other for anything and this is frankly a positive fact.

Russia

Donald Trump has put reconciliation with Russia at the top of his foreign relations agenda.

In his inaugural speech when he spoke of uniting the civilised world in a fight to eliminate radical Islamic terrorism, cooperation with Russia in this area was the clear inference. I believe that Trump will work hard to make this flagship policy happen.

Whatever counter-productive soundbites Trump or his associates give for internal MSM consumption, is ultimately meaningless.

For all of Obama’s provocation against Russia, his administration did not do anything to hinder Russia’s progress. Russia grew far stronger under Obama than many could have imagined.

Russia is unquestionably a geo-political superpower once again and one whose abilities to moderate global conflicts is respected above all other powers.

The Syrian conflict will be managed by Russia, Iran and Turkey, so long as the latter remains cooperative.

Obama conceded defeat over Syria in all but name and Trump will likely go along with Russia both to save face and also because I believe he genuinely understands that Assad is not a threat to anyone, whilst radical Islamic terrorism is a treat to everyone (except Saudi Arabia, Qatar and the Clinton Foundation).

One must hope that Trump will pull the plug on the American cash flow/life support system to the fascist regime in Kiev. Even if he does so purely for financial rather than moral reasons, the effect will be the same.

If this happens, the independence of the Donbass republics will be assured, and it will then be Russia’s duty to recognise them, embrace them, aid them and hopefully ultimately welcome them to the Russian Federation. Anything less would be a grave injustice, especially since under Trump one couldn’t blame America for Russian reticence to bring Donbass back home.

Europe

Donald Trump has not held back in his feelings of contempt for the dying liberal elite in Europe. He was openly critical of Angela Merkel just before his inauguration and has embraced Nigel Farage more than anyone from the corrupt British elite. The fact that Marine Le Pen was pictured in Trump tower a week before the inauguration also sends a clear message.

The message is this: if European states want to be friends with America and trade with America, terrific. But don’t expect a Trump White House to even pay lip service to the failed European project.

The EU may continue to be a voice in the global wilderness clinging on to outdated liberal ‘values’, but the peoples of Europe are getting fed up with all this, and if anything Donald Trump will speak in their favour.

The Deep State

I believe that many in the Deep State will see that their time has come. Trump is a single minded individual and I do not believe he will be led by the tail.

The open war with the CIA may be a protracted and ugly one, but I predict a Trump victory.

I believe that some measure of democracy will be restored even if it takes years. So long as Trump counters Deep State propaganda with Twitter, the people may finally wake up to what has gone on for decades.

Civil Strife in America

Donald Trump has always been an outspoken figure but he has also been ‘the People’s millionaire’. Far from a reclusive Rockefeller style individual, Donald Trump has embraced popular culture until the point that he became popular culture. He has conducted business and has maintained good personal relations with individuals of all racial, national and religious backgrounds.

It was the fake stream media that portrayed Trump as some sort of bigot when he never has been one and is not now. Hopefully through the power of social media people will see that Trump truly wants America to be united. Setting fire to the identity politics of the Democratic Party would be a good way to start.

So there you have it. Your handy guide to becoming a Trump optimist. He won’t be perfect, but he will be better than almost anything which care before him since at least 1945.

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Defeat in Bavaria delivers knockout punch to Merkel’s tenure as Chancellor (Video)

The Duran – News in Review – Episode 136.

Alex Christoforou

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The stunning CSU defeat in Bavaria means that the coalition partner in Angela Merkel’s government has lost an absolute majority in their worst election results in Bavaria since 1950.

In a preview analysis before the election, Deutsche Welle noted that a CSU collapse could lead to Seehofer’s resignation from Merkel’s government, and conceivably Söder’s exit from the Bavarian state premiership, which would remove two of the chancellor’s most outspoken critics from power, and give her room to govern in the calmer, crisis-free manner she is accustomed to.

On the other hand, a heavy loss and big resignations in the CSU might well push a desperate party in a more volatile, abrasive direction at the national level. That would further antagonize the SPD, the center-left junior partners in Merkel’s coalition, themselves desperate for a new direction and already impatient with Seehofer’s destabilizing antics, and precipitate a break-up of the age-old CDU/CSU alliance, and therefore a break-up of Merkel’s grand coalition. In short: Anything could happen after Sunday, up to and including Merkel’s fall.

The Financial Times reports that the campaign was dominated by the divisive issue of immigration, in a sign of how the shockwaves from Merkel’s disastrous decision to let in more than a million refugees in 2015-16 are continuing to reverberate through German politics and to reshape the party landscape.

The Duran’s Alex Christoforou and Editor-in-Chief Alexander Mercouris discuss the stunning Bavarian election defeat of the CSU party, and the message voters sent to Angela Merkel, the last of the Obama ‘rat pack’ neo-liberal, globalist leaders whose tenure as German Chancellor appears to be coming to an end.

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Via Zerohedge

Voters in Germany’s economically dominant southern state of Bavaria delivered a stunning rebuke to the ruling Christian Social Union, in an election that delivered another crushing blow for the parties in Angela Merkel’s grand coalition in Berlin.

With all eyes on Sunday’s Bavaria election, moments ago the first exit polls showed a historic collapse for the ruling CSU party, which has ruled Bavaria continuously since 1957, and which saw its share of the vote collapse from 47.7% in the 2013 election to just 35.5%, losing its absolute majority and suffering its worst result since 1950, as voters defected in their droves to the Greens and the far-right Alternative for Germany.

German newspaper Welt called the election “the most painful election defeat of the past 50 years for the CSU”. As predicted in the polls, the CSU experienced a “historic debacle” in the Bavarian state elections, according to Welt. The CSU was followed by the Greens which soared in the election, more than doubling to 18.5% from 8.6% in 2013, the Free Voters also rose to 11% from 9.0%, in 2013.

Meanwhile, the nationalist AfD are expecting to enter Bavaria’s parliament for the first time ever with 11% of the vote, and as such are setting up for their post-election party. Party leader Alice Weidel already is having the first beer in the small community of Mamming in Lower Bavaria.

Establishment party, left-of-center SPD also saw its support collapse from 20.6% in 2013 to just 10% today.

The full initial results from an ARD exit poll are as follows (via Zerohedge):

  • CSU: 35.5 %
  • Grüne: 18.5 %
  • FW: 11.5 %
  • AfD: 11.0 %
  • SPD: 10.0 %
  • FDP: 5.0 %
  • Linke: 3.5 %
  • Sonstige: 5.0 %

The breakdown by gender did not show any marked variations when it comes to CSU support, although more women voted for the Greens, while far more men supported the AfD:

There was a greater variation by educational level, with highly educated voters tending more towards the green GRÜNE (G/EFA) and liberal FDP (ALDE) then the average, while low/middle educated voters tended more towards CSU (EPP) and AfD (EFDD).

This was the worst result for the CSU since 1950.

Zerohedge further reports that alarmed by the rise of the anti-immigration, populist AfD, the CSU tried to outflank them by talking tough on immigration and picking fights with Ms Merkel over asylum policy.

But the strategy appeared to have backfired spectacularly by alienating tens of thousands of moderate CSU voters and driving them into the arms of the Greens.

Meanwhile, as support the CSU and SPD collapsed, the result confirmed the Greens’ status as the rising force in German politics. Running on a platform of open borders, liberal social values and the fight against climate change the party saw its support surge to 18.5%, from 8.4% in 2013. Meanwhile the AfD won 11%, and for the first time entered the Bavarian regional assembly.

“This is an earthquake for Bavaria,” said Jürgen Falter, a political scientist at the University of Mainz.

The CSU had governed the state with an absolute majority for most of the last 60 years. “It was Bavaria and Bavaria was the CSU. That is now no longer the case.”

The latest collapse of Germany’s establishment parties highlights the shaky ground the grand coalition in Berlin is now resting on as all three parties in the alliance, Merkel’s Christian Democratic Union, the CSU and the SPD, are haemorrhaging support. Some are now questioning whether the coalition, already frayed by personal rivalries and near constant bickering over policy, can survive a full term in office.

“This outcome throws ever more doubt on the future of the grand coalition,” said Heinrich Oberreuter, head of the Passau Journalism Institute and an expert on the CSU. “Based on current polls, if an election were held now, the CDU, CSU and SPD would not even command a majority in the Bundestag.”

The CSU will now be be forced to form a coalition government — a humiliating outcome for a party that has run Bavaria single-handedly for 49 of the last 54 years. Its preference is probably for a three-party coalition with the Free Voters, a small party that is mainly focused on local politics. It could also team up with the Greens, though it would be highly reluctant to do so: the two parties are deeply divided over immigration, transport and environmental policy.

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Elizabeth Warren’s DNA ploy backfires big time (Video)

The Duran Quick Take: Episode 1.

Alex Christoforou

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RT CrossTalk host Peter Lavelle and The Duran’s Alex Christoforou take a quick look at Senator Elizabeth Warren’s ‘genius’ idea to accept POTUS Trump’s ‘Native American DNA’ challenge. Let’s just say that Warren will never recover from this self-inflicted wound.

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The Cherokee Nation issued a statement crushing Elizabeth Warren for her “continued claims of tribal heritage.”

“A DNA test is useless to determine tribal citizenship. Current DNA tests do not even distinguish whether a person’s ancestors were indigenous to North or South America. Sovereign tribal nations set their own legal requirements for citizenship, and while DNA tests can be used to determine lineage, such as paternity to an individual, it is not evidence for tribal affiliation. Using a DNA test to lay claim to any connection to the Cherokee Nation or any tribal nation, even vaguely, is inappropriate and wrong. It makes a mockery out of DNA tests and its legitimate uses while also dishonoring legitimate tribal governments and their citizens, who ancestors are well documented and whose heritage is prove. Senator Warren is undermining tribal interests with her continued claims of tribal heritage.

– Cherokee Nation Secretary of State Chuck Hoskin, Jr

Zerohedge reports that Elizabeth Warren just owned herself after releasing a DNA test confirming that she’s as little as 1/1024th Native American – about half the percentage of the average white person.

What’s more, the DNA expert she used, Stanford University professor Carlos Bustamente, “used samples from Mexico, Peru, and Colombia to stand in for Native American” as opposed to, say, DNA from a Cherokee Indian which Warren has claimed to be throughout her career.

Adding to the absurdity are two major corrections by the Boston Globe (which has become the media mouthpiece of Warren’s 2020 damage control efforts of late), letting readers know that “Due to a math error, a story about Elizabeth Warren misstated the ancestry percentage of a potential 10th generation relative. It should be 1/1,024,” and later updating it to “between 1/64th and 1/1,024th Native American.”

Adding to the absurdity are two major corrections by the Boston Globe (which has become the media mouthpiece of Warren’s 2020 damage control efforts of late), letting readers know that “Due to a math error, a story about Elizabeth Warren misstated the ancestry percentage of a potential 10th generation relative. It should be 1/1,024,” and later updating it to “between 1/64th and 1/1,024th Native American.”

Elizabeth Warren’s got trolled by Trump in the most epic fashion, pushing the Senator to make a blunder that will follow her for the rest of her career.

The Daily Caller’s Benny Johnson exposed Elizabeth Warren’s history of lies in 10 simple tweets…

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Hillary Clinton: Democrats have been TOO CIVIL with GOP (VIDEO)

Civil war becomes more likely as Clinton calls for greater civil unrest after weeks of absolutely insane behavior from leftist activists.

Seraphim Hanisch

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Former presidential candidate Hillary Rodham Clinton just called for an end to civil behavior towards Republicans and conservatives. In an interview with Christiane Amanpour of CNN expanded on in a piece by USA Today, the failed candidate had this to say:

“You cannot be civil with a political party that wants to destroy what you stand for, what you care about… That’s why I believe, if we are fortunate enough to win back the House and / or the Senate, that’s when civility can start again.”

Clinton said that Senate Republicans under Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, R-Ky., “demeaned the confirmation process” and “insulted and attacked” Christine Blasey Ford – who testified before the Senate Judiciary Committee about a sexual assault she alleges Kavanaugh committed in 1982 – along with other “women who were speaking out.”

It should be pointed out here that Clinton told a lie. The Senate Republicans did everything possible to hear out Dr Ford’s testimony, and no one has gone on record with any sort of insults or demeaning comments about her. Every Republican Senator who stated anything agreed that something happened to her, but they also agreed that there was no corroboration showing that Judge Kavanaugh was actually involved in any misdoings. USA Today’s piece continues:

Clinton compared the handling of Kavanaugh’s confirmation to “Republican operatives shutting down the voting in 2000,” the “swift-boating of John Kerry,” attacks on former Arizona Sen. John McCain in the 2000 Republican primary and “what they did to me for 25 years.

“When you’re dealing with an ideological party that is driven by the lust for power, that is funded by corporate interests who want a government that does its bidding, you can be civil but you can’t overcome what they intend to do unless you win elections,” she told Amanpour.

Clinton compared Kavanaugh’s swearing-in ceremony at the White House on Monday to a “political rally” that “further undermined the image and integrity of the court.”

She told Amanpour the effect on the court “troubles” and “saddens” her “because our judicial system has been viewed as one of the main pillars of our constitutional government.”

“But the President’s been true to form,” Clinton added. “He has insulted, attacked, demeaned women throughout the campaign – really for many years leading up to the campaign. And he’s continued to do that inside the White House.”

Here, Clinton told at least two more incendiary whoppers.

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First, no one has been specifically after her, and second, President Donald Trump’s record with women including in the White House has been nothing short of stellar and gentlemanly. Nikki Haley, who supported Marco Rubio in the 2016 campaign and has at times been openly critical of Donald Trump, yesterday announced her full support of his 2020 campaign and her intent to campaign with and for him.

By all accounts, Mrs. Haley is a woman.

The first American Civil War had economic policy and states’ rights as its central focus. Slavery was a part of that issue, though slavery was practiced in the North as well in the South before this war began.

Now a new civil war is coming, but perhaps it should be called the American Social War. It is not about any real policy matter at all. It is hysteria, but it appears to be hysteria with a purpose.

The first American Social War has two apparent sides and allying forces and groups:

The Left:

  • pro-gay marriage
  • pro-death (in other words, pro-abortion)
  • anti-Christian, especially Christianity that says these first two issues are wrong
  • anti-GOP / Republican / Conservative
  • “victim class” – feminists, some millenials
  • supporters of legalized use of mind-altering / mood-altering drugs
  • appears to support overreaching socialist style government, featuring “fair” wages, such as a $15.oo minimum wage
  • anti-traditionalist
  • Mainstream media is strongly allied here
  • George Soros is a supporter
  • social media outlets, like Facebook and Twitter are supporters through “scrubbing” of media content
  • anti-white, anti-male, and if you are white, male and Christian, look out. You are Enemy Number One
  • supports and executes violence against all these people they are against, including family members.
  • very zealous, and very monolithic in terms of alignment and energy

The Right:

  • Conservatives
  • people who generally want the government to leave them alone
  • generally favors life, considering abortion tragic and to be avoided, though some consider that it should be made illegal
  • marriage has always been between one man and one woman and it should not be redefined to fit the whims of a few
  • God is sovereign (though many conservatives would never make this connection)
  • No real animus against the left, but at the same time, fed up with being hectored by the left all the time, as we saw in Senator Lindsey Graham’s explosive confrontation against Senate Democrats
  • Generally Republican by party affiliation, though many libertarian and conservatives are also present as well as a number of conservative democrats.
  • seeks to avoid violence. While there do exist a very few neo-Nazi types, their numbers are infinitesimal, and their behavior is rejected by the Right
  •  generally against drug use, though many have unfortunately moderated on the matter of actual illegality

The main characteristic of this approaching war, as stated before, is little more than some sort of outrage over identity politics and perceived victimization. This is something both new and old, as there is always a party in any war that claims that they are fighting because they are in fact the aggrieved party, under the other side’s aggression and suppression.

That factor exists with this war too. However, the reality of that aggression or suppression is that it does not exist, and this makes it very difficult for the “perceived aggressors” to ramp up the zeal needed to carry out the fight.

This factor is often very maddening for conservative people. As a whole they do not wish to fight. They wish to be left alone. The left on the other hand insists that everything must be fought for because the right has somehow managed to take it away from them, or is keeping it away from them.

This is purely fiction but it is almost impossible to convince a leftist that this is so. Tucker Carlson expands on this matter in this report. He makes reference at 6:37 about how Hillary Rodham Clinton is now openly calling for civility to the GOP to end (as if it hasn’t already!), but the entirety of this report begs to be seen to give perspective to the look and feel of this crisis:

This is unfamiliar territory in many ways, and it is unclear how far this will go. But one this is clear: it is testing all available limits, and it may come to real fighting, and real killing, for no reason better than perceived victimization.

It should be understood that the advocates for violence are all people that reject God and traditional values openly. There is certainly a connection.

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