in

Next French President will likely be Le Pen.

The statements, views and opinions expressed in this column are solely those of the author and do not necessarily represent those of this site. This site does not give financial, investment or medical advice.

Eric Zuesse

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“Don’t Believe The Pollsters” – Macron Tells Supporters He Could Still Lose French Election To The “Far Right”

Many untrained political observers probably assumed that the outbreak of war in Ukraine probably bolstered French President Emmanuel Macron’s odds of securing a second term during the French presidential election this month. But the truth is the race is much closer than it might appear.

https://archive.ph/YHTQR

3 April 2022 (First-round vote will be on April 10th; second on April 24th)

“Don’t Believe The Pollsters” – Macron Tells Supporters He Could Still Lose French Election To The “Far Right”

Macron 26%

Le Pen 21%

Melenchon 15.5%

Zemmour 11%

Pecresse 9.5%

Jadot 6%

Likeliest to switch: Pecresse (to Macron)

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Projected 2nd round: 53% Macron, 47% Le Pen. But from what I’ve read, most of the Zemmour votes will switch to Le Pen in the second round. Some of Melenchon’s would. Some of Pecresse’s would. If all that happens, then Le Pen would probably win. Therefore, if I had to bet, I’d bet against the current (as-of April 3rd: 85% Macron, 15% Le Pen) odds, on Le Pen to be the next French President. (Also: this graph — which shows that Macron’s support rose sharply at the Feb. 24th invasion of Ukraine and has been sinking from then on, whereas Le Pen’s has continued her slight rise — leads me to believe that Macron’s support is declining, while Le Pen’s is not. This likewise suggests to me that Le Pen will win.)

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The statements, views and opinions expressed in this column are solely those of the author and do not necessarily represent those of this site. This site does not give financial, investment or medical advice.

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Orion
Orion
April 4, 2022

Lets hope Le Pen wins because she has had better rapport with Russia and is far more logical than the rest of the globalist cronies. However, that is assuming she won`t flip flop once in power.

exiled off mainstreet
exiled off mainstreet
April 4, 2022
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Macron owns the covid fascism bullshit and owns general mainstream support for Nazis in Ukraine which is not wearing well with voters who are used to thinking for themselves like Frenchmen.

Leif Sachs
Leif Sachs
April 4, 2022

So you’re basically betting on an honest election result?

intp1
April 4, 2022

There will be Ginormous tactical voting /hook or crook smears Shenanigans to keep her out.

Orion
Orion
Reply to  intp1
April 4, 2022

That is very likely. Macron of course is your typical opportunistic lizard.

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