Grzegorz Ochman
The statements, views and opinions expressed in this column are solely those of the author and do not necessarily represent those of this site. This site does not give financial, investment or medical advice.
I agree with Prof Mearsheimer with regards to China. As he was saying in many of his lectures and debates, China does not want a war NOW. He said many times that he is telling Chinese to wait and he says that they know they just need to wait. With every year the position of the USA is getting weaker and China’s position is getting stronger. So conflit right now is not something China wants or is good for them. The longer that they postpone conflict the better the situation is for them.
The issue is that the USA is also aware of that. That’s why in my opinion they are now pushing the conflict with China. None really want conflicts beside the USA, for example Russia really didn’t want conflict in Ukraine. The conflict in Ukraine happened only because people were already being bombed there, so Putin had to do something if people were being bombed literally for wanting to use the Russian language. None is dying or being bombed in Taiwan. Taiwan is also separated from mainland China by a bigger waterline than the English channel. Just think how much of a problem Normandy Landing was for the Allies in WW2. I heard many military experts mentioning that military invasion of Taiwan is almost impossible because of that.
So the military threat of China is a myth just Like myth that Russia wants to go further West. People say Putin wants to invade the rest of Europe while most military experts agree Russia doesn’t even have the force to occupy the whole Ukraine. So they don’t have enough force to occupy the whole Ukraine but they will invade the rest of Europe. It’s the same with China. We are told China will invade Taiwan while most military experts say military invasion on Taiwan is almost impossible. Besides, why would China want to start a military conflict by invading Taiwan if they know that with every year they’re getting stronger.
On the other hand, the USA knows that with passing time with each passing year their situation is getting worse and they are getting weaker. In that case it’s not surprising that they are trying to push conflict with China because the longer they wait the weaker their position is getting. So in my opinion Conflict with China is being pushed by the USA and all they say about it is a lie.
I suspect that the USA wants to use conflict with Russia in Ukraine to create a dual-polar world, like in the cold war. To separate China and Russia from the rest of the world, to slow their growth and basically to try to do something because they know as Mearsheimer said that China’s position with passing time is getting stronger. So if the USA would not do something they would lose anyway so they need to do something quick.
So talking about the China military threat is just a way to mobilise rest of the world into alliance to sanction and separate China and Russia from the rest of the world with hope of crippling their growth since if they won’t cripple their growth or do something about their growth they will lose with passing time anyway.
So all the talk that the US military is scared of China military threat is just bullshit. Since if there will be no military conflict China will win automatically with passing time so there is nothing to grain for them from conflict and everything to lose. Which is completely opposite to the USA, they have nothing to lose since if they don’t do anything they will lose anyway and by doing something they may gain time or even win.
The statements, views and opinions expressed in this column are solely those of the author and do not necessarily represent those of this site. This site does not give financial, investment or medical advice.
“Just think how much of a problem Normandy Landing was for the Allies in WW2. I heard many military experts mentioning that military invasion of Taiwan is almost impossible because of that.” These “military experts” you have been listening to, sound very much like the Covid-19 Experts, who were just a bunch of opportunist charlatans. Firstly, Taiwan is a small Island, even smaller than the Netherlands, and it only over 100 miles from mainland China. China could easily land several Divisions of the People’s Liberation Army on Taiwan in the matter of several hours, and they have been planning this… Read more »
Crass I respected your opinion before but the longer I read what you write I literally lose respect after reading stupid things you write. “Taiwan has only several dozen Missile boats and Frigates, and 4 Destroyers, which would be simply routed by Chinese anti ship missiles from the Chinese Navy and their Air Force.” Yes, that’s part of my point, normal non-submarine naive is absolute. Just look at the Russian ship that was sunk by Ukraine. It was one of the most advanced ships. That’s part of the reason why military experts think invasion is impossible. Since Chinese anti-ship missiles… Read more »
Seriously. Taiwan is tiny, and only 100 miles from mainland china. All of Taiwan’s military assets have obviously been identified by the Chinese satellites and Chinese military surveillance planes. The Chinese People’s Liberation Army Rocket Force would destroy all coastal anti ship missile defences, including Patriot missiles systems, with a plethora of short range Dongfeng ballistic missiles, before sending in The People’s Liberation Army Air Force to mop up the remaining mobile launchers. This would be the first phase of a Chinese invasion of Taiwan, followed by the sinking of the Taiwanese fleet. Only then would the Chinese send a… Read more »
What about the American air-force and submarine fleet? If the Americans would send a fleet of their submarines and let’s say 2 aircraft carriers the China flotilla would be obliterated. How would China deal with that?
Aircraft carriers are floating coffins, and the Chinese developed the YJ-21 Hypersonic anti ship missile (which can not be intercepted), to simply sink American aircraft carriers.
Aircraft carriers are an archaic throwback to 20th century warfare, and have no place in 21st century warfare, unless they are used against third world countries.
Both of the United States adversaries (Russia and China), have hypersonic anti ship missiles, that can destroy US aircraft carriers, and their is no defence against them, nor will there be.
“(it’s just don’t even try to answer atom bomb).”
An atom bomb is a fission bomb, like the Fat Man that was detonated over Nagasaki. The Chinese obviously do not use fission bombs, as they are far too weak. They use fusion bombs, which are Thermonuclear hydrogen bombs, and are far far more destructive than a simple atom bomb.
Anyway, there is a good chance that Thermonuclear hydrogen bombs will be used in the near future, between the United States and Russia or China, as the dying US Empire can’t just die, and disappear from the world stage.
“Anyway, there is a good chance that Thermonuclear hydrogen bombs will be used in the near future, between the United States and Russia or China, as the dying US Empire can’t just die, and disappear from the world stage.“ I agree with that, but China can not invade Taiwan, it can nuke it but they wanna take it over not destroy it. I understand you agree now invasion is not possible since you didn’t answer how China would deal with the American submarine fleet. Truth is we don’t even know if most of the American submarine fleet is already now… Read more »
“I understand you agree now invasion is not possible since you didn’t answer how China would deal with the American submarine fleet.” I see you like to play the straw man fallacy! Do you seriously think the Taiwan Strait is not heavily monitored with Chinese sonar? An “American submarine fleet” would be quickly detected and destroyed in the relatively shallow waters of the Taiwan Strait. China has also got Z-18F anti-submarine Helicopters fitted with ASW torpedoes, that they would also use in the deep waters of the east side of Taiwan, to hunt for American submarines, in the event of… Read more »