Demand Destruction Response: “Balance as long as you can, and when you can no longer, set the world on fire!” — Józef Piłsudski

I am writing this post partly as a comment on a recent video by The Duran.

First, I want to say that I really like The Duran because, in my two recent posts, I was pointing out where I think they were wrong. I have written a few times before that I focus on the differences between me and The Duran because there is no point in praising them or simply repeating what they have already said. I also wrote before that Alex is more open-minded than Alexander. Based on my recent post, you could say that Alex is more of a lateral thinker like me, while Alexander is more linear, which is what made their program so great. I must say that I am really happy because Alex has started to understand what I was saying, and he has started to use a reverse Hanlon’s Razor.

I have written a post about reverse Hanlon’s Razor and plan to burn the world down.

The truth about America: Stupidity or malice?

Now I wanted to write about power and wealth and the fact that they are relatively non-objective because this is something people don't understand and which is required to understand how they think. I will try to explain it in my next post, where I will present events and similarities.

Let's start with the Alaska project that Brian Berletic talks about.

36:15

Asia. People have to think in the four dimensions of time, not just the three dimensions of the here and now. And look what the US has already done up to now to achieve this elsewhere around the globe. Don't you think they've learned from that process? And they're going to repeat that success elsewhere. Of course, they are. And they are — they're literally doing that's what they're doing right now.

It should be mentioned that the LNG export projects the US invested in over recent years to target Asian markets struggled to propose a viable business model during their early proposal and approval stages, just as LNG export projects targeting European markets had until the US proxy war on Russia began. One project, Alaska LNG by Glenfarn, made energy security and routes through uncontested and safe shipping lanes a primary selling point. I will show you the video of that right now:

"In today's evolving world, Glenfarn stands at the intersection of proven energy expertise and innovative infrastructure investment. We are a global company focused on development, operations, and investment across the energy spectrum. And our newest LNG project, Alaska LNG, a strategically positioned large-scale energy project — including an import terminal, export terminal, pipeline, and gas treatment facility — will deliver reliable, low-emission natural gas from the US to key partners in Asia.

Beside some market misconceptions, the Alaska LNG project is an economically attractive, competitively priced source of reliably delivered LNG for Asian buyers with or without government support. Alaska LNG has significant geopolitical, energy security, and sustainable design advantages: a shorter route to Asia through uncontested and safe shipping lanes, and a long-term stable supply of gas from a trusted ally. Join Glenfarn in building Alaska LNG, an economically attractive, reliable, and price-competitive LNG facility to enhance global energy security and satisfy energy demand in Alaska and Asia."

Good morning, everybody. As we can see, the excitement continues here in Alaska, here in the United States, and in the Pacific Rim, and hopefully for our partners all over the globe that are here today. I want to thank our friends from Taiwan for being here and speaking this morning so eloquently on the need for secure energy, not just for Alaska, but for our friends in the Pacific.

What is the shipping from Alaska? I'm really comparing to other great American LNG because our friends that want to sign with the United States have a choice: the Gulf Coast or Alaska. If you're shipping from the Gulf Coast, you either have to go through the Panama Canal—which is so busy now with global trade that you can have a 10-day wait on either side—go to Japan, Taiwan, or Thailand, come back, wait again, and come through. Most of the boats now are actually going around Africa, passing under India, and coming through the Straits of Malacca. A lot of contested waters, there are things called pirates (look at some movies), and they eventually arrive in Asia. That's three times the travel distance, which means three times the cost. So we have a 300% advantage shipping from Alaska. It's a very unique opportunity to sell and a very unique opportunity to buy if you want US LNG that's not going through contested waters, that's cheaper than the alternative, at less risk given the distances. It's just truisms why this works.

That was as recently as 2025. However, at the time, there were no contested or unsafe shipping lanes impeding the flow of energy exports to Asia to justify the selling point. The only shipping lanes that might ever be contested or made unsafe would be the various straits the US has discussed and prepared to contest and make unsafe for decades—not just in the Asia-Pacific region, but also the Strait of Hormuz in the Middle East and beyond. We could also talk about the Panama Canal and America's interest in controlling that waterway and preventing China from having any influence or say over it at all.

Of course, now with the US war on Iran disrupting energy exports from the Middle East, projects like Alaska LNG have gone from poor business proposals to desperately needed and perfectly positioned sources of energy. All of it — just like with US LNG exports to Europe — by design.

Now I wanted to point this out because this reminds me of what happened in Poland and what I wrote about.

Świnoujście LNG terminal - Wikipedia

The Świnoujście LNG terminal (also referred as Terminal LNG in Świnoujście, Polskie LNG Baltic LNG, or gazoport) is a liquefied natural gas (LNG) import terminal at Świnoujście, in the extreme north-west of Poland near the Polish-German border. The LNG terminal was operated by Polskie LNG S.A.

Construction was laid on 23 March 2011.

Baltic Pipe - Wikipedia

The Baltic Pipe is a natural gas pipeline between Europipe II (which traverses the North Sea between Norway and Germany) and Poland. It is a strategic infrastructure project to create a new European gas supply corridor. The Baltic Pipe transports natural gas from the North Sea to Poland via Denmark at up to 10 billion cubic metres (350 billion cubic feet) per year.

The project was revived in 2007.

Both of those projects were started and stopped. The PiS government, which is an American puppet, wanted it, while the PO government, which was a German puppet, didn't want it. So the PiS government started it, then PO stopped it, then PiS got into power again and started it again, and so on.

Now, why do I bring this up? Because I was really wondering when those projects were started. Those projects were started under the pretext of Russia stopping gas supplies to Europe. Gas going to the LNG terminal and through this pipeline was at least one and a half times more expensive than gas coming from Russia. Those projects didn't make sense, and the arguments for them didn't make sense either.

Now let's look at the Alaska project. It was started based on the argument of “uncontested and safe shipping lanes.” Now, as Brian pointed out, there were no contested shipping lanes at the time. Just like in the case of the Polish projects, there was no threat of Russia stopping gas supplies. Gas from Alaska is more expensive than the current alternative of Middle Eastern gas, just like gas coming through Polish gas ports and pipelines was more expensive than the alternative of Russian gas.

Now the question that arises is: do Poles and Americans have some Nostradamus who predicts the future, or maybe they knew what would happen because they engineered it? By the way, Poland is too weak to engineer the war in Ukraine. Poland was simply informed about what would happen. Part of the government was made up of German puppets, so PO was against it, while PiS, as American puppets, believed in it. You have this famous quote, which I have used many times.

Polish foreign minister says country's alliance with US worthless

Polish magazine says it has obtained recordings of a conversation in which Radek Sikorski says strong alliance with US 'harmful'

"You know that the Polish-US alliance isn't worth anything… It is downright harmful, because it creates a false sense of security ... Complete bullshit. We'll get in conflict with the Germans, Russians and we'll think that everything is super, because we gave the Americans a blow job. Losers. Complete losers." — Radislaw Sikorski

Now, this was secretly recorded with a wiretap in a restaurant. While you may think Sikorski is stupid, you have his real thoughts. At the same time as it was recorded, he was publicly praising Americans as Poland's best allies. So while Sikorski may sound stupid when you listen to what he says publicly, in reality he is extremely smart. Now I have used this video of Condoleezza Rice before. You could only find one video of this, but fortunately, people started copying it.

Here you have Condoleezza Rice complaining about Merkel. She says here what is really happening and what the American goals are. That's why this video is only available in such bad quality, and before, there was only one copy of it. Fortunately, people started copying it.

When Sikorski talks about “...we gave the Americans a blow job.” In my opinion, he is talking about what Condoleezza Rice is talking about. That's why Sikorski talks about “We'll get in conflict with the Germans, Russians,...” because both Russia and Germany didn't want this.

Ukraine Protest Leader Warned "You'll All Be Dead"

Polish foreign minister Radoslaw Sikorski was overheard warning a member of the Ukrainian opposition that President Yanukovich would impose martial law if protesters did not support a deal with the government Mr Sikorski was caught on camera telling a protest leader: "If you don't support this [deal] you'll have martial law, you'll have the army.

 

Polish foreign minister Radoslaw Sikorski was overheard warning a member of the Ukrainian opposition that President Yanukovich would impose martial law if protesters did not support a deal with the government

Mr Sikorski was caught on camera telling a protest leader: "If you don't support this [deal] you'll have martial law, you'll have the army. You will all be dead."

Now wait a moment. Here we have Sikorski threatening Maidan protesters and telling them to stop protesting. But wait — if he was on the American side, he would encourage the protests. Sikorski was trying to stop the protests on the Maidan because he knew the American CIA and Victoria Nuland were giving cookies to NAZIs in Ukraine and planning a massacre. Now, if Sikorski had succeeded and the protesters had stopped, then Ukrainian Nazis would not have been able to shoot people and start a coup. So, even back then, he was trying to stop Project Ukraine because he thought this was bad. As my first quote from him shows, he thought this would mean upsetting the Germans and Russians just to give blowjobs to the Americans.

This is my mental model, and it also explains the famous “Thank you, USA.” tweet. If he was on the American side, he would not have tweeted this because the US didn't want people to know that they blew up Nord Stream. Sikorski tweeted it out of frustration because he was angered. He bet that Germany and Merkel would prevail and that this war would not happen. So he sided with Merkel and Germany, and when Germany and Merkel failed and America won because Project Ukraine really happened, he was frustrated and angered, and in his emotions he posted this.

After America prevailed and he knew Germany had lost, he simply switched sides and started working for the winners, in other words, the Americans.

As for the dates when Polish LNG infrastructure was started suggest that is was planned a long time ago. The construction of the infrastructure was begun a while back. Today, this infrastructure is supposed to benefit from the closure of the Strait of Hormuz. They build infrastructure that makes no sense and is not profitable, and then something happens that makes the infrastructure super-profitable and essential. Now, people looking at it through Hanlon's Razor can simply say that Poles and Americans were lucky and simply made a good bet. Now I use reverse Hanlon's Razor, which leads me to think that all of this is planned.

“Balance as long as you can, and when you can no longer, set the world on fire!” — Józef Piłsudski

Now what I am afraid of, and what is probable according to my mental model, is a burning world. Now people are wondering, like Alex was wondering in today's video, why they would want to blow up the global economy. I wrote about it before, and it's because China is an export economy.

This image is important and explains why America would want to burn the world down. First, let's look at what America and China export. The main exports of America are essentials like energy resources, food, military equipment, and services. Meanwhile, what does China export? While China is now exporting high-end goods like higher-end electronics and cars, etc., the main exports of China are still cheap small accessories, so non-essential goods. Now, if there is a global economic crisis and collapse, it benefits America. The rest of the world will not stop buying essential American exports. People will not suddenly stop buying energy, food, and military equipment. While they can reduce their use of the services America provides, most of the exports are essential, so America will be able to continue exporting. On the other hand, China's exports are mostly non-essential. While China exports cars and some high-end goods, most of its exports are low-grade products. Here you have a video showing what I mean.

So America's main exports are food, energy, military equipment, and services. Meanwhile, Chinese exports are like this massager gun. When there is a global recession and people in Africa and the rest of the Third World suffer and have no money, do you think they will spend the only money they have on food and energy from America or on this Chinese massager gun?

If there is a global recession, people will reduce their purchases of non-essential gadgets that China exports, but they can't stop buying essentials like energy and food that America exports. So while a global recession would hurt the American financial market and Wall Street, if we look at who would suffer more when it comes to exports, it would be China because China exports non-essential goods, which people buy with extra money. But if you have no extra money and can buy only essential goods, then you buy from America, not China. America can not compete with China, but what America has going for it is the fact that it exports essentials, which will be needed regardless of the state of the global economy. Meanwhile, China mostly exports non-essentials, which can be sold only if people have extra money to spend.

A global recession will not stop food production in America or energy production because these are essentials that will always be needed. On the other hand, think about how many Chinese factories producing non-essential goods like this massager gun will have to close.

I suspect they may want to cause a global recession that forces Chinese factories to close because global demand for non-essential goods will collapse. They hope it will cause internal problems in China, which will help them destroy China.

Now, I know people will argue against it. But this is my mental model, and it also explains the biggest surprise and question that has arisen recently. Why did China stop importing oil, which helped the Americans and went against Iran? People don't understand why China has done that. My mental model explains it: China simply understands that America wants a global recession, and China wants to prevent it. If there is no global recession and global economic collapse, China wins. The only way to stop it is to cause a global recession and economic collapse, which will reduce demand for non-essential goods, which is the main export of China.

 

Now, as I wrote in my post that I linked at the beginning, the main thing is plausible deniability. So the problem for America is that if they start a global recession and global economic collapse, the world will be angered at them. Just like the world would be angered if they started the war in Ukraine. That's why they need plausible deniability. Just like in Ukraine, America didn't start the war and simply created conditions that forced Russia to attack, which gave Americans plausible deniability. Similarly, they can't simply start a global recession now; they need plausible deniability, so they need to create conditions in which someone else is responsible. For example, Iran. After all, it's like this: America didn’t cause a crisis, and it was Iran that blew up Middle Eastern infrastructure. So, just as in the case of Ukraine, they will create conditions in which the other side will look like it is responsible.

Now I suspect China is pressing Iran not to blow up the Middle East because they understand what I have described here. That is also why they stopped importing oil, which helped the Americans and went against Iran by lowering the price. If America blows up Iran's infrastructure, then Iran needs to respond; otherwise, they lose deterrence. But China understands that this is what America wants, so they are begging Iran not to do it because the global recession that would result from this would hurt China more than America.

In today's video by The Duran, which I linked earlier, Alex says:

6:47

Why are they not doing anything about it?

And maybe they're not doing anything about it because it's a controlled type of demolition. I mean, they want—I'm trying to figure out why would they want this, but maybe they do want the prices to spike, inflation to skyrocket.

They don't get hurt by it, do they? The citizens get hurt by it, but yeah.

But what do they gain by burning everything down?

I hope my post explains why they would want to do this.

P.S. Since people can't comment, if anyone wants to comment or discuss, I have created a ProtonMail account so you can write to me.

OchmanDuran@proton.me

 

I will end it here. Thanks to everyone who stuck with me until the end. And, as always…

 

“Knowledge will make you be free.”

― Socrates

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“Knowledge isn’t free. You have to pay attention.”

― Richard P. Feynman

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“Freedom is not free; you need to pay attention.”

― Grzegorz Ochman

 

"And when I reflected upon the nation to which I was bound by everything that brings joy and everything that brings pain, everything within me that thinks and everything that feels, I came to the conviction that my childhood dreams and reveries were merging with my youthful worldview. A socialist in Poland must strive for the independence of the country, and independence is a decisive condition for the victory of socialism in Poland."

― Józef Piłsudski (How I Became a Socialist)

 

"In my childhood, so-called wise proverbs were constantly whispered in my ears: "Don't blow against the wind!" "You can't break through a wall with your head!" "Don't attack the sun with a hoe!" Later, I came to the conclusion that strong will, energy, and enthusiasm can break these very principles. And now, when we face the great tasks of further building the Polish state, we need precisely those people who can stand up to the old wisdom of these proverbs."

― Józef Piłsudski (Reply to the speech of the rector of the University of Lublin, January 11, 1920.)

 

"You can't break through a wall with your head, but if other methods have failed, you should try that one too."

― Józef Piłsudski

 

I am a leader | Mr. Robot

I am a leader | Mr. Robot #shorts #short #shortvideo #tiktok #music #tiktokvideo Audio: Sergio Valentino - Drive Forever