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Cold siege against Kaliningrad

The West prepares for war against Russia.

Submitted by InfoBrics, authored by Lucas Leiroz, Research Fellow in International Law at the Federal University of Rio de Janeiro…

The announcement of the Defender-Europe 2020 gave the world, but especially Russia, a new and strange perspective on the future of international security. The drills seem to be the largest military exercises in Europe in 25 years. The countries elected to be the theater of the activities are those closest to the Russian border, causing great reactions in Russian media and their military forces.

Basically, as well known, the program states a big list of military exercises in Europe, to be conducted alongside the Russian border in the coming months. Currently, there are more American soldiers in Europe than during the collapse of the Soviet Union. This number will increase with the Defender-Europe exercises, to the incredible mark of almost 40.000 soldiers.

Russia correctly realizes these acts as a real threat. Wordlessly, Defender-Europe 2020 seems to be a “cold siege” of Kaliningrad, which will require the military recrudescence of the region by Russia, creating bad expectations on peace and security. Above all, the main question remains: is the West really interested in entering into a war with Russia? Are the European potencies willing to face a conflict of such big proportions?

The old modality of war is a practice in extinction. The total mobilization of forces does not seem to be interesting or profitable nowadays. The reasons are clear: modern technology changed war and the mechanisms of control and vigilance, in both internal and international spheres, proportionating new and more efficient forms to the world potencies to guarantee their interests. However, NATO is conducting dangerous military maneuvers that indicate a revival of this type of war.

This episode reveals the greatest fear of the West: the fortification of Russia and the geopolitical decentralization. NATO is nothing more than an instrument of the US to preserve its global hegemony and the current main target is the Russian zone in Europe. To avoid Russian expansion, the US may do everything, even not excluding war. Now, this is just a threat, an expectation; but no one knows how the coming events and their consequences may unfold.

We need to remember other signs of this aggressive position by the US, as the document Overextending and Unbalancing Russia. Assessing the Impact of Cost-Imposing Options, published by the RAND Corporation, explains. According to the document, a team of diplomats explores ways where the US can use Russia’s weaknesses to further its political and economic power. In the document, US experts suggest operations in four sections: economic, geopolitical, informational and military. The military section of the monograph states a list of measures in three areas: air, land and sea.

Defender-Europe 2020 proposes this exact plan to state a military opposition to Russia, mainly by land and sea. RAND’s document says exactly that the US should (in sea) increase military presence in the regions occupied by Russian naval force (remember here the Kaliningrad Naval Base and the Baltic Fleet) and (in land) increase the number of American soldiers in Europe, mainly on the Russian border. For the American geopolitical experts, the presence of American troops and the increase of size and scale of NATO exercises on the Russian border will send a signal to Russia, stating the real intension is to wage war if western interests are not respected.

NATOS’s program for the current year is then nothing more than the materialization of the RAND Corporation proposals published last year. This is the proof that the American government and armed forces are controlled by the bizarre ideas of a small number of scholars committed with the interests of the Deep State. The greatest interest of these people is to preserve American hegemonic power all around the world, threatening even a nuclear potency as Russia and the international legal structure of peace and security to gain this central objective.

The leading role of Russian foreign policy for the construction of a multipolar world is the unique reason for these great hate and fear against this country by the West. There is no greater danger for the US than the possibility of losing its hegemony over the whole world. This is why there are currently so many investments in mechanisms of hybrid war against targeted countries, viewed as dangerous to American hegemonic power, as we can see in the cases of color revolutions (such as Bolivia and Hong Kong), criminal attacks (the assassination of the Iranian Top General Qassem Soleimani) and now in the military provocations against Russia.

But the unipolar world is a paper tiger and its destiny is the collapse. There is no clear evidence that Europe will really engage in this program with the US. This is even more obscure now, when a critical view of NATO is gaining force in Europe, destabilizing the idea of a western military alliance. And it is possible that the US plans of war fail again.

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The statements, views and opinions expressed in this column are solely those of the author and do not necessarily represent those of The Duran.

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Tim McDonnellOlivia KrothAntonio Carlos Cordeiro de CarvalhoJames Hunterlex Recent comment authors
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paul
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paul

Russia needs to make it clear to Washington’s satellites and satraps that it is them who will pay the cost of US aggression and adventurism.

Just like Iran has made it clear that Saudi Arabia and the petty Gulf Dictatorships will immediately be in the cross hairs after any US aggression.

Tom Welsh
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Tom Welsh

It could not be otherwise. Washington is accustomed to waging “wars” far away from its own territory, in which the costs and death toll are restricted to the victim nations. But in any war against Russia, unless – and perhaps even if – all the European nations remain strictly neutral, parts of Europe would be in for very heavy bombardment.

Russian doctrine states clearly that any attack on Russian territory, or that of Russia’s allies, may be met by a thermonuclear response. Once that happens, there can be no guarantee that even a single human being will survive the ensuing exchanges.

lex
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lex

Russian doctrine states clearly that any attack on Russian territory, or that of Russia’s allies, may be met by a thermonuclear response.
no it dos not Russia will only use nuclear weapons if the US uses them first or the existence of the Russian state is in jeopardy

Normski
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Normski

I agree, Russia will only use nuclear weapons if provoked and as a last resort.

Normski
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Normski

What the US appears to forget is that Russia now has the capability to take any war to the US mainland and probably already have submarines ready to wipe out / level cities on the US Atlantic and Pacific coasts. I think if the US does start a war with Russia, it will be in for a bloody big surprise and a bloody good hiding.

ManintheMoon
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ManintheMoon

I agree that Russia needs to get more proactive to show there is a price to be paid for threatening the homeland. Maybe the answer is to threaten the US itself more directly, perhaps a major military presence in Cuba? How about a Russian base right next to Guantanamo?

Theodros
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Theodros

Exactly right!

It is about time Russia should take the gloves off and make it clear that it will fight back and will even go nuclear to neutralize its enemies if these (US/Nato) provocations like in Syria continue! Enough is enough!

Vera Gottlieb
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Vera Gottlieb

Fight back yes, but without nuclear.

James Hunter
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James Hunter

Nuclear it will be, Vera! There’s no other choice for Russia. That being written, and declared by Russia’s President Putin (27,000,000 Russian deaths against Hitler’s Germany, whom the Russians defeated), if the Unites States of Aggression (some 400,000 dead) don’t realize that it won’t be OK and peaceful on its own territory this time, and its industry and major cities will be totally destroyed, you’ll have to make sure that the whole USA will for once stay at home with its military. I suggest to the whole US population to get rid of all its warmonger representatives in Washington and… Read more »

TravelAbout
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TravelAbout

But…but doesn’t the US say that they OWN that hemisphere? LOL

Normski
Member
Normski

I like your thinking although I suspect Russia already does have a military presence close to USA but no one know about it. How many subs can you park at the bottom of the Atlantic and Pacific Oceans?.

Vera Gottlieb
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Vera Gottlieb

War mongering, hate mongering, fear mongering…all signs of a highly culturally developed society.

William H Warrick III MD
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William H Warrick III MD

These maniacs think they can go to war against Russia and China at the same time which reveals they are not rational. Irrational people do irrational things.

VictorPendrew
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VictorPendrew

From Russia’s current military doctrine;

“No more wars will be fought on Russian soil. If attacked we will immediately take the fight to the enemy’s homeland targeting all the military and political decision making centres using precision long range weapons.
In the event of an existential threat to the sovereignty of Russia we will respond with Nuclear weapons”

Pretty much says it all.

James Hunter
Guest
James Hunter

It does say it all, Victor.

You must remember the speech of Putin when he announced the new weapons, subs, super fast torpedos and missiles, underwater bombs which could create tsunamis… Cities like New York, Boston and other one along the Atlantic could be, if destroyed by man-made tsunamis, in such a dire situation that the majority of their population would leave the cities as fast as possible. Stores, industries, streets, subways, etc., closed for a long time…

Antonio Carlos Cordeiro de Carvalho
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Antonio Carlos Cordeiro de Carvalho

Why don’t focus in the fundamental thing?? There’s no more capacity in USA or elsewhere to face a war against Russia!! Maybe 20 years ago. Maybe. But not now!! The European Union knows, for sure, that these talks of war don’t fit with their goals of integration with Asia (Eurasian Corridor). And knows, perfectly, that they will be the ultimate victims of such a war. France and Germany (and Italy too) will lead the EU to a deeper relationship with Russia, China and Central Asia that will allow them to get rid of NATO and pursue their own Armed Forces,… Read more »

Olivia Kroth
Guest

Europeans are very tired of wars. No more wars in Europe!
Germany lost Königsberg to the Russians in the Second World War, now the city is called Kaliningrad. Germans know what it means to lose wars.

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