Biggest-Ever U.S. Presidential Poll Shows That If Either Trump or Biden Drops Out, RFK Jr. Will Likely Become President.

Eric Zuesse (blogs at https://theduran.com/author/eric-zuesse/)

It could happen: Either Biden or Trump could become convicted, or else Biden could become a co-defendant along with Netanyahu if the International Criminal Court takes up the Gaza genocide case, or else Ukraine will be defeated by Russia before the November 5th election (and the hundreds of billions of dollars that the U.S. Government has essentially donated to Ukraine since 24 February 2022 would then have been wasted), or else one of these two 80-year-old contestants could drop dead before November 5th, or else Hunter Biden could become convicted and the bribery case might become public against President Biden.

This contest could become either Biden v. RFK Jr., or else Trump v. RFK Jr. It could happen.

The largest-ever poll on the Presidential contest sampled 26,408 likely voters (not MERELY who are REGISTERED voters but who also are LIKELY to vote — in other words: these respondents are LIKELY to vote — whereas most polls are instead sampling merely REGISTERED voters and ignore the far more important and rarer LIKELY voters), and here were the Electoral Votes (in the Electoral College) that, as-of the poll’s publication on 4 May 2024, each contestant will likely win in this 50-state contest:

If it will be Trump versus Biden: then Trump 294 v. Biden 244; Trump wins.

If it will be RFK Jr. v. Biden: then RFK Jr. 367 v. Biden 171; RFK Jr. wins.

If it will be RFK Jr. v. Trump, then RFK Jr. 270 v. Trump 268; RFK Jr. probably wins.

What will happen if all three men are still in the contest on November 5th? In that case, then most voters won’t vote for Kennedy, because he isn’t running as either Party’s nominee — many voters then will be choosing only between Biden and Trump instead. Then the question will be: will Kennedy’s being in the three-contestant political contest take more votes away from Biden, or more votes away from Trump? Most of the three-candidate U.S. Presidential polls indicate that Kennedy improves Trump at around 1 or 2% against Biden — not the other way around. But, even if there’s to be only Trump and Biden in the race as-of November 5th, Trump is now generally considered likely to beat Biden. So, an RFK Jr. being on the ballot as a third candidate on November 5th would be unlikely to affect the the outcome between the other two candidates, if all three of them are still in the contest by then.

All of these if-thens are presuming that Kennedy will get onto the ballot in all 50 states, which might not turn out to be the case.

This poll, which had 26,408 respondents who were likely to vote in this contest, sampled vastly more people than a normal national poll on this contest samples (which ranges from around 1,000 to around 2,000 respondents nationwide). No information was supplied about the sampling technique employed. However, since these were likely and not merely registered voters, and since the sample-size was 10 to 20 times that of virtually all of the other polls about this contest, the findings in this poll are probably more trustworthy than other polls on this contest are.

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Investigative historian Eric Zuesse’s latest book, AMERICA’S EMPIRE OF EVIL: Hitler’s Posthumous Victory, and Why the Social Sciences Need to Change, is about how America took over the world after World War II in order to enslave it to U.S.-and-allied billionaires. Their cartels extract the world’s wealth by control of not only their ‘news’ media but the social ‘sciences’ — duping the public.