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As His Regime Falters, Here Is Where Venezuela’s Maduro May Seek Asylum

Via Zerohedge


As US sanctions on Venezuelan oil restrict one of the last lifelines for the embattled regime of Venezuelan dictator Nicolas Maduro, talk of all-out civil war has intensified (one US admiral even suggested that the US could dispatch ground forces to the ailing socialist republic if it feels its diplomatic personnel are being threatened). And with opposition leader Juan Guaido winning the support of a growing share of the international community, his government will soon benefit from more financial support in the form of escrow accounts that will be seeded with revenues from Venezuelan oil.

Last month, John Bolton tweeted that he sincerely hopes Maduro will abandon his claim to power and flee to “a nice beach somewhere far from Venezuela.”

Though he declined to name names, Elliott Abrams, the State Department’s special envoy to Venezuela, said that countries other than Russia and Cuba “have come to us privately and said they’d be willing to take members of the current illegitimate regime if it would help the transition.”

And Maduro’s wife, Cilia Flores, reportedly has been pressuring her husband to have a “Plan B” ready

With Maduro’s fate looking ever more tenuous (though, to be sure, despite a wave of defections, he still commands the loyalty of the Venezuelan military), Bloomberg on Monday offered a comprehensive look at all of the countries where Maduro and the senior ranks of his government could end up seeking asylum.

To be sure, offering safe haven to Maduro could carry risks both for the Venezuelan dictator and the country involved. Still, the locations reportedly under discussion include both unsurprising candidates (Cuba) and surprising ones (…the Vatican?).

Here’s a quick roundup, sourced from BBG:

Cuba:

The Cuban Communist regime led by Miguel Diaz-Canel has been both an ideological ally to Maduro’s Bolivarian Republic and a source of financing during times of stress. But taking in Maduro could put Cuba “back on the US radar” after President Trump has done surprisingly little to roll back the detente ushered in by the Obama Administration.

Russia

Moscow has been one of the Maduro regime’s most outspoken backers (its state-controlled oil company Rosneft has sunk billions of dollars in investments into Venezeula’s state-run oil company). Still, Russian lawmakers insisted they would rather see Maduro remain in power in Venezuela. One Russian lawmaker said he believes Maduro and his allies would sooner take to the hills and become guerillas before leaving the country.

Moscow is not fond of Maduro, but has little choice in the matter, according to a person with knowledge of the internal discussions who spoke on condition of anonymity. The Kremlin won’t encourage him to flee unless there is a clear alternative — and for Moscow that is not Guaido, the person said.

“He is not planning to go anywhere,” Russian lawmaker Andrey Klimov, deputy head of the upper house of parliament’s foreign affairs committee, said by phone. He dismissed talk of Maduro’s evacuation as “psychological warfare” aimed at “sowing panic and hysteria.

“I think Maduro and his people are more likely to become guerrillas and make a second Vietnam of Venezuela,” he said. Russia, he added, is “talking to Maduro in order to ease tensions inside the country and abroad. But we can’t command him.”

Still, Russia said it doesn’t “give up on its own”, suggesting that if Maduro was truly desperate, he could turn to Moscow.

If Maduro turned to Russia, President Vladimir Putin would give him refuge, said Andrey Kortunov, head of the Russian International Affairs Council, a research organization set up by the Kremlin. “It’s not in our rules to give up our own – and he is still one of ours,” he said.
Russia, however, thinks Maduro can survive the crisis, according to Kortunov. “I believe Maduro has boltholes closer than Russia,” he said. “But this is still premature. So far, the regime has shown some resilience.”

Mexico

Another likely contender is Mexico, which has a long tradition of taking in leftist exiles and also the Shah of Iran. After his falling out with Stalin, Leon Trotsky, the infamous Soviet revolutionary, fled to Mexico, where he was welcomed proudly by the country’s leftist leader (though he was later murdered by agents of Stalin). Lazaro Cardenas, the leader who took in Trotsky, is a hero for AMLO, Mexico’s current leader. Mexico has remained one of the few countries in Latin America to continue to recognize Maduro as Venezuela’s legitimate ruler.

In another sign that Mexico could offer asylum to Maduro,  Jorge Rodriguez, Venezuela’s communications minister, traveled to Mexico last month while Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez was also in the country. Talks between the various parties reportedly focused on Mexico’s utility as a conduit for talks between Maduro and the opposition.

Turkey

President Erdogan has praised Maduro, and officials in his government have suggested that Maduro could seek asylum there, though only as a last recourse.

Turkey’s President Recep Tayyip Erdogan called Maduro last month to assure him of his support, addressing him as “my brother!” The destination for tons of Venezuelan gold, Turkey has offered to take in Maduro, although only as a last recourse, according to a person familiar with the discussions. Any decision would be taken by Erdogan directly, and right now the priority is on backing him at home, a senior Turkish official said.

The Vatican

Last month, Guaido appealed to Pope Francis for help in acting as a mediator between Guaido and Maduro, though the Vatican remains an unlikely source of respite for Maduro and members of his regime.

One factor that could complicate a Maduro exit is his vice president, Diosdado Cabello, who has been under investigation by US prosecutors since at least 2015 for his alleged involvement in cocaine trafficking.

* *  *

Still, anybody who believes the demise of the Maduro regime is imminent should take another look at what happened in Syria during the wake of the Arab Spring. Back in 2011, almost every analyst quoted in Western media predicted that Assad’s downfall would take a matter of weeks, not months or years, according to BBG.

Nearly eight years later, not only is Assad still in power, but he is stronger than ever before. The same could very well hold true for Maduro, who also enjoys the backing of Russia and Iran.

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Olivia KrothigorJustin TauaIt is I onlyDarryl Secret Recent comment authors
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Olivia Kroth
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Venezuela’s Government with President Maduro does not “falter” but stands strong. He does not seek “asylum” anywhere but will remain in Venezuela, his home country.

teles
Guest

Telesur English:

Venezuelans sign for peace and non-interference in Venezuela

Olivia Kroth
Guest

President Nicolas Maduro’s “evacuation” from Venezuela not on Kremlin’s agenda, says Putin’s spokesman Russian Politics & Diplomacy February 07, 12:49 UTC+3 MOSCOW, February 7. /TASS/. No work is underway in the Kremlin on the potential evacuation of President Nicolas Maduro from Venezuela because of the domestic political crisis, Russian Presidential Spokesman Dmitry Peskov told reporters. “This issue has not been raised,” he said. “There isn’t any exchange of views with the United States regime. Moscow is not holding any consultations with other countries, including Uruguay.” Speaking on the exchange of views on the Venezuelan settlement, the Kremlin spokesman assured that… Read more »

Olivia Kroth
Guest

Caracas has the support of influential allies, says Venezuelan top brass World February 12, 11:00 UTC+3 MOSCOW, February 12. /TASS/. Venezuela’s authorities are not isolated and have backing from influential allies amid the crisis in the Latin American country, head of the Operational Strategic Command (CEOFAN) of the National Bolivarian Armed Forces of Venezuela Remigio Ceballos said on VTV channel live on Monday. “We are not in isolation , we have influential allies,” Ceballos said. There are “more than 180 countries that support Venezuela in the current situation” in the country, he said. Ceballos also affirmed that the National Bolivarian… Read more »

Stunned_at_Sunset
Guest
Stunned_at_Sunset

I can understand why Russia is loathe to witness yet another “Deep State” regime change operation in Venezuela but we have to face the fact that Maduro’s “regime” was DOA the day he allowed the Venezuelan mobsters to take over the management of the people’s prosperity, safety, property, and security. It’s not that the people want a Capitalist Economy. They don’t seem to want that as they keep voting these socialist yahoos into power. The problem is that the people don’t want mobsters running their lives and Maduro behaves like the quintessential “Don” parsing out fiefdoms to the loyal “lieutenants”… Read more »

Jane Karlsson
Guest
Jane Karlsson

Please provide references for your statements about Venezuelan corruption. I have come across many accusations on this subject but no evidence. Perhaps there is indeed massive corruption. But until I see incontrovertible evidence I will reserve judgement.

teles
Guest

As the US regime falters, here is where US mafiosi Bolton and Pompeo may seek Asylum: in North Korea, in Iran, in Syria, in Cuba. Of course, they may also commit suicide in the CIA bunker of Langley, Virginia.

TravelAbout
Guest
TravelAbout

LOL, I’d vote for the last option!

bsamsin
Guest
bsamsin

yeah, but you know where they’d really run to … (as flag bearers for Israeli policy)

Von drexler
Guest
Von drexler

Fuck you daran fuck you!Venezuela is not a regime so fucking stop saying it…….

Olivia Kroth
Guest

I agree. This term is not correct. The Government of Venezuela has been demoxratically elected, international observers (even from the USA) were present as observers.

“Regime” has a negative connotation. Therefore I have started calling the US government a “regime”, and the current French government under Macron is also a “regime”. One might as well call them dictatorships.

Paddy Jameson Power
Guest
Paddy Jameson Power

Who writes this nonsense? Pres Maduro is the democratically elected president of Venezuela. Only someone deluded by US propaganda would refer to him as a dictator. This is what we have come to expect from US shills and propagandists.
And Pres Maduro is going nowhere.

Nikolaiki
Member
Nikolaiki

‘Embattled regme of Venezuelan dictator Nicholas Maduro’…….that where I stopped reading! Maduro has been democratically elected president of Venezuela.

HelenB
Guest
HelenB

It’s BBC rubbish via ZeroHedge. Why The Duran would put its name anywhere near it is surprising.

bsamsin
Guest
bsamsin

actually, it’s not that surprising, since Mercouris talked on video about Russia doing a deal with Guaido, which was a bit of a head scratcher.

Olivia Kroth
Guest

What Mr. Mercouris said about Russia dropping Venezuela is not true. Actually, it is quite the opposite. Russia supports Venezuela in difficult times. Mr. Mercouris sayd in his interview that he does not know much about Venezuela and has never been there. I wonder where his ideas about Venezuela come from. TASS REPORTS: Venezuela thanks Russia for support in current situation Society & Culture February 12, 19:13 UTC+3 Venezuela’s ambassador in Moscow Carlos Rafael Faria Tortosa said that “our people, our government and our President Nicolas Maduro are very grateful to you and the Russian government” MOSCOW, February 12. /TASS/.… Read more »

Olivia Kroth
Guest

DURAN has a lot of texts from Zerohedge. It might be better if the editors started writing their own.

craig watson
Guest

Maduro is going nowhere. He’s a Venezuelan, and a patriot. He’ll die there fighting before fleeing, like all courageous honest leaders. Russia and China are arranging their own proxies to stave off the USA’s NGO’s, CIA and proxies from Colombia and elsewhere. Here is where the USA finally hits the wall and crashes. And here is where China and Russia defend their $billions invested in Venezuela as well as elsewhere in South America. It will probably get ugly, but maybe not, can’t tell yet. America is on the warpath but clueless as ever.

HelenB
Guest
HelenB

Sourced from the BBC? Really?

thraxite
Guest
thraxite

Why does the author continuously call President Maduro a dictator? If he doesn’t know they’ve had 25 elections in the past 20 years and last years were found free and fair by international observers, he shouldn’t be given the opportunity to spread his rubbish! This seems like he’s in competition with a certain German journalist who got caught making things up recently. Seems this was as well researched as those articles. Boo!

notlurking
Guest
notlurking

Something stinks to high heaven here…..yea this article….

Olivia Kroth
Guest

The DURAN is taking a strange turn. Somehow it seems to have been “hijacked”. I wonder by whom ….

jrkrideau
Guest
jrkrideau

Should not this article have discussed where Juan Guaidô is planning as his new home. Given the USA’s record, he probably wants to have several alternatives available.

Olivia Kroth
Guest

The Venezuelan coup perpetrator could hibernate in Trump’s golf club of Mar-a-Lago, Florida. Maybe he’ll get a rentfree apartment in the Trump tower later? (If Trump is not too stingy for this sort of give-away to a failed puppet of his faltering regime ….)

Darryl Secret
Guest
Darryl Secret

The regime change attempt is over.
The U$A/Canada has failed spectacularly.

Get rid of U$ Guantanamo, put those S-400’s and Pantisirs in Venezuela and Cuba, and they may yet be safe.

Justin Taua
Guest
Justin Taua

So Tyler Durden deliberately choses to use the Authoritarian “Regime” word, that is associated with; US-supported military dictatorships; to denigrate Venezuela and Cuba. His “Communist” and “Regime” association of Cuba, is about his hateful desire to taint a “Workers State” with the “Regime” label that better fits; the tyrants who have been the lapdogs of US-led oppression around the World. For that reason, it’s the job of every well informed person on the planet; to accurately describe the USA as a, “Military Regime” (The Deep State). We call it a “Junta.” The “US-Deep State”, ain’t some ghostly play on words;… Read more »

Olivia Kroth
Guest

“Tyler Durden” is a pen name for a Bulgarian refugee or refugee spawn, living under the US regime, and obviously doing quite well there, since he does not want to return home. All of the “Tyler Durden” texts are tainted by his new habitat (the US regime). You can find more about this on Wikipedia: Daniel Ivandjiiski is the “zerohedge” founder and editor From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia Born Daniel Krassimirov Ivandjiiski November 8, 1978 (age 40) Sofia, Bulgaria Residence Mahwah, New Jersey, U.S. Nationality Bulgarian Other names Tyler Durden (on Zero Hedge) Education American College of Sofia (1997) Alma… Read more »

Justin Taua
Guest
Justin Taua

Thanks a lot mate From Aotearoa/New Zealand. Cheers!

It is I only
Guest
It is I only

As His Regime Falters, Here Is Where Venezuela’s Maduro May Seek AsylumHumm ??
If I remember correctly didn’t you said that about Assad some years ago, you & the “respected” media, the mulatto faggot et al ??

Olivia Kroth
Guest

Yes, the US regime always likes to talk about others “faltering”. I hope the US regime will falter soon, once and for all.

igor
Guest
igor

Why publish garbage like this

Olivia Kroth
Guest

Yes, why indeed? Has THE DURAN no better articles to offer? How sad.

igor
Guest
igor

trash article

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