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The Pessimist’s guide to Donald Trump

Here’s your point by point analysis of why I encourage optimism when it comes to President Donald Trump

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Many people who are on the right side of the multi-polarity debate are worried about Trump’s relationship to many countries and global issues.

With that in mind, here is your Pessimists Guide to Donald Trump.

China

Right now China holds the American economy by a vice for two reasons: 1. The American market place is heavily reliant on Chinese manufacturing of Chinese products and products owned by American and European companies. 2. American and Chinese currencies are inter-dependent.

Because of this, no amount of rhetoric can fundamentally change the fact that China and America will not go to war whether a hot war or a trade war. Both countries need each other, at least for now.

What is at stake is the nature of business relations between the two countries. America has allowed herself to be at the receiving end of poor deals, and China like any other economic-superpower with wise political leaders, has taken advantage of that.

Trump has articulated this sentiment time and time again when praising shrewd Chinese business practices whilst insulting American negotiators.

Donald Trump’s appointment of Terry Branstad as US Ambassador to China, a personal friend of President Xi Jinping, sends a clear message:  the US will communicate with China in a friendly, familiar voice.

Trump’s words about the One China Policy being up for negotiation is most likely rhetoric to be used as leverage in future negotiations.

Neither Beijing nor Taipei actually want conflict, and this becomes increasingly true with every passing year.

Military parades and other build-ups are nothing but the visual analogue of Trump’s ‘up for negotiation’ rhetoric.

Because Chinese Taipei’s rulers separated from the mainland during a civil war, one cannot compare its status with those of formerly foreign controlled parts of China, such as Hong Kong and Macau. In this sense, a global two-China policy may become the reality over the next decades. In the Middle East such a concept is called a ‘two-state solution’.

Crucially I do not think Trump will use the South China Sea territorial disputes as leverage in negotiations. I think he’ll wisely stick to dollars and cents and leave the South China Sea issues to be negotiated by the effected parties. So far they’ve done a better job last year than in all previous years.

The ace in the deck of cards when it comes to US-Chinese relations is Jack Ma. The Alibaba founder has promised to create one million jobs in America. He also said that if America didn’t waste so much money on wars and the tools of war, it could have focused more on internal job creation and economic growth.

Ma talks like Trump and I believe that Ma could well exercise an un-official or semi-official role as China’s trade emissary to America.

China and America both talk tough, but I believe cooperation is on the horizon, far more so than under previous US administrations.

Iran

Donald Trump has made it clear that he’s no great fan of The Islamic Republic, but name me one US President who was? Many worry about the possibility of the US instigating a regime change war on Iran, but even if the more hawkish people surrounding Trump wanted to do so, it is incredibly unlikely that such a thing would happen.

If George W. Bush and Barack Obama, the twin-emperors of regime change, didn’t touch Iran, what makes one think that Captain American First would do so?

If America made war upon Iran, because of Iran’s deep involvement in Shi’a regions of Iraq and elsewhere in the Shi’a Arab world, it would be a massive regional war involving many Arab states and foreign irregulars in addition to Iran’s formidable armed forces.

There is simply no will to do this. Many in America might even be secretly embarrassed that in spite of America’s technologically sophisticated military apparatus, the likelihood is that any war on Iran is a war that America would lose, and lose badly.

Like with China, Trump is more critical of Obama’s poor negotiating skills than he is with the Iran deal itself.

The best thing for both America and Iran is to ignore each other whenever possible.

Unlike with China and the US who are interdependent in many ways, Iran and America do not need each other for anything and this is frankly a positive fact.

Russia

Donald Trump has put reconciliation with Russia at the top of his foreign relations agenda.

In his inaugural speech when he spoke of uniting the civilised world in a fight to eliminate radical Islamic terrorism, cooperation with Russia in this area was the clear inference. I believe that Trump will work hard to make this flagship policy happen.

Whatever counter-productive soundbites Trump or his associates give for internal MSM consumption, is ultimately meaningless.

For all of Obama’s provocation against Russia, his administration did not do anything to hinder Russia’s progress. Russia grew far stronger under Obama than many could have imagined.

Russia is unquestionably a geo-political superpower once again and one whose abilities to moderate global conflicts is respected above all other powers.

The Syrian conflict will be managed by Russia, Iran and Turkey, so long as the latter remains cooperative.

Obama conceded defeat over Syria in all but name and Trump will likely go along with Russia both to save face and also because I believe he genuinely understands that Assad is not a threat to anyone, whilst radical Islamic terrorism is a treat to everyone (except Saudi Arabia, Qatar and the Clinton Foundation).

One must hope that Trump will pull the plug on the American cash flow/life support system to the fascist regime in Kiev. Even if he does so purely for financial rather than moral reasons, the effect will be the same.

If this happens, the independence of the Donbass republics will be assured, and it will then be Russia’s duty to recognise them, embrace them, aid them and hopefully ultimately welcome them to the Russian Federation. Anything less would be a grave injustice, especially since under Trump one couldn’t blame America for Russian reticence to bring Donbass back home.

Europe

Donald Trump has not held back in his feelings of contempt for the dying liberal elite in Europe. He was openly critical of Angela Merkel just before his inauguration and has embraced Nigel Farage more than anyone from the corrupt British elite. The fact that Marine Le Pen was pictured in Trump tower a week before the inauguration also sends a clear message.

The message is this: if European states want to be friends with America and trade with America, terrific. But don’t expect a Trump White House to even pay lip service to the failed European project.

The EU may continue to be a voice in the global wilderness clinging on to outdated liberal ‘values’, but the peoples of Europe are getting fed up with all this, and if anything Donald Trump will speak in their favour.

The Deep State

I believe that many in the Deep State will see that their time has come. Trump is a single minded individual and I do not believe he will be led by the tail.

The open war with the CIA may be a protracted and ugly one, but I predict a Trump victory.

I believe that some measure of democracy will be restored even if it takes years. So long as Trump counters Deep State propaganda with Twitter, the people may finally wake up to what has gone on for decades.

Civil Strife in America

Donald Trump has always been an outspoken figure but he has also been ‘the People’s millionaire’. Far from a reclusive Rockefeller style individual, Donald Trump has embraced popular culture until the point that he became popular culture. He has conducted business and has maintained good personal relations with individuals of all racial, national and religious backgrounds.

It was the fake stream media that portrayed Trump as some sort of bigot when he never has been one and is not now. Hopefully through the power of social media people will see that Trump truly wants America to be united. Setting fire to the identity politics of the Democratic Party would be a good way to start.

So there you have it. Your handy guide to becoming a Trump optimist. He won’t be perfect, but he will be better than almost anything which care before him since at least 1945.

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Surprise, Surprise! Another Brett Kavanaugh Sexual Assault Allegation! (Video)

Democrats will use this Social Justice tactic on every nomination and election.

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Via Stefan Molyneux


Surprise, Surprise! Fresh off the spineless Republicans delaying the confirmation vote for Supreme Court Nominee Brett Kavanaugh – the Judge has been accused of yet another sexual assault claim of questionable authenticity. Apparently during the 1983-84 academic school year, Kavanaugh ‘exposed himself’ to classmate Deborah Ramirez while she was heavily intoxicated – or so she thinks so, despite admitted gaps in her memory and no additional eyewitnesses.

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White House Releases Late Night Push Back to New Yorker Hit on Kavanaugh

Ramirez recalls “a penis being in front of my face,” and that despite being incredibly drunk, someone encouraging her to “kiss it.”

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Via The Gateway Pundit


The White House released a late night response to the New Yorker hit piece by Ronan Farrow and Jane Mayer on Supreme Court nominee Brett Kavanaugh in which a Yale classmate alleged, without eyewitness corroboration, that Kavanaugh exposed himself to her face at a drunken college dorm party decades ago. Kavanaugh issued a statement denying the accusation.

Latest Kavanaugh accuser, Yale classmate Deborah Ramirez.

The White House statement highlights multiple details from the article that undermine the accusation.

Reporters have posted a copy to Twitter, one of them CNN’s Kaitlan Collins.

Full image and text posted below.

WHAT YOU NEED TO KNOW ABOUT THE ALLEGATIONS MADE IN THE NEW YORKER ARTICLE ON JUDGE BRETT KAVANAUGH

“This alleged event from 35 years ago did not happen. The people who knew me then know that this did not happen, and have said so. This is a smear, plain and simple. I look forward to testifying on Thursday about the truth, and defending my good name—and the reputation for character and integrity I have spent a lifetime building—against these last-minute allegations.” – Judge Brett Kavanaugh

The accuser, Deborah Ramirez, admits in The New Yorker’s piece that there were “significant gaps” in her memories about the event. 

  • “She was at first hesitant to speak publicly, partly because her memories contained gaps because she had been drinking at the time of the alleged incident.”
  • “Ramirez acknowledged that there are significant gaps in her memories of the evening…”

By The New Yorker’s own admission, Ramirez was reluctant to speak with certainty on the allegation. 

  • “In her initial conversations with The New Yorker, she was reluctant to characterize Kavanaugh’s role in the alleged incident with certainty.”

It took six days of “assessing her memories” for Ramirez to say she recalled Kavanaugh committing the alleged incident, and that came only after consulting with an attorney provided by the Democrats. 

  • “After six days of carefully assessing her memories and consulting with her attorney, Ramirez said that she felt confident enough of her recollections…”
  • “Senate aides from Ramirez’s home state of Colorado alerted a lawyer, Stanley Garnett, a former Democratic district attorney in Boulder, who currently represents her.”

The New Yorker admits it has not confirmed through eyewitnesses Kavanaugh was even present at the party and other students who knew Kavanaugh said they never heard of the incident. 

  • The New Yorker has not confirmed with other eyewitnesses that Kavanaugh was present at the party.”
  • “In a statement, two of those male classmates who Ramirez alleged were involved in the incident, the wife of a third male student she said was involved, and three other classmates, Dino Ewing, Louisa Garry, and Dan Murphy, disputed Ramirez’s account of events…”
  • “We were the people closest to Brett Kavanaugh during his first year at Yale. He was a roommate to some of us, and we spent a great deal of time with him, including in the dorm where this incident allegedly took place.”
  • “Some of us were also friends with Debbie Ramirez during and after her time at Yale. We can say with confidence that if the incident Debbie alleges ever occurred, we would have seen or heard about it—and we did not.”

Further, those classmates said that the allegations in the story would be completely out of character for Kavanaugh.  

  • “The behavior she describes would be completely out of character for Brett.”

A former student who was best friends with Ramirez said she never told her about the incident despite how close they were. 

  • “The former friend who was married to the male classmate alleged to be involved, and who signed the statement, said of Ramirez, ‘This is a woman I was best friends with. We shared intimate details of our lives. And I was never told this story by her, or by anyone else. It never came up. I didn’t see it; I never heard of it happening.’”

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US Will Be “Defenseless” Against New Russian Nuclear Sub Equipped With Hypersonic Missiles

The hypersonic nuclear submarine is not the only super-weapon that Russia is preparing to add to its arsenal.

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Via Zerohedge


The Soviet-era arms race between the US and Russia is officially back on.

To wit, Moscow is reportedly building a fleet of nuclear submarines armed with hypersonic ICBMs capable of delivering a nuclear payload ten times larger than the bomb dropped on Hiroshima, according to CNBC, which cited a US intelligence report on the new weapons. Russian President Vladimir Putin hinted at six new super weapons during a speech back in March where he also revealed that Russia is working on a nuclear missile capable of evading NATO’s ring of ABM defenses.

The new Borei II submarine, also known as the Borei-A, is a fourth-generation nuclear-powered ballistic missile submarine that will reportedly join the Russian Navy’s Northern and Pacific Fleets once it’s completed in 2024, according to the report. Each sub can carry up to 20 Bulava intercontinental ballistic missiles, which can deliver a nuclear payload of 100 to 150 kilotons. The sub will be the first new Russian sub developed in the post-Soviet era.

What’s worse is that, as of now, the US doesn’t possess adequate defenses to protect against Bulava missiles.

What’s more, unlike a traditional missile, which carries one warhead, the Bulava missile is capable of carrying up to 10 nuclear and hypersonic weapons on its tip. That means one Borei II submarine could potentially launch 200 hypersonic weapons, a threat the U.S. is currently unable to defend against.

A hypersonic weapon can travel at Mach 5 or higher, which is at least five times faster than the speed of sound. This means that a hypersonic threat can travel about one mile per second.

Back in March, Putin showed a digital representation of how one of Russia’s new weapons could evade ABM defenses by traveling high into the stratosphere. The Russian president also criticized the US and NATO for forcing Russia to resort to these weapons. He also dared any of Russia’s geopolitical rivals to call the country weak.

“I want to tell all those who have fueled the arms race over the last 15 years, sought to win unilateral advantages over Russia, introduced unlawful sanctions aimed to contain our country’s development: You have failed to contain Russia,” Putin said during his March national address.

A hypersonic weapon can travel at Mach five or faster, which means it is five times faster than the speed of sound, traveling at about one mile per second.

And the new sub isn’t the only super-weapon that Russia is preparing to add to its arsenal. Of the six weapons Putin unveiled at his speech earlier this year, CNBC reported that two of them will be ready for war by 2020.

“We don’t have any defense that could deny the employment of such a weapon against us,” Air Force Gen. John Hyten, commander of U.S. Strategic Command, told the Senate Armed Services Committee in March, following Putin’s comments.

With this in mind, perhaps Democrats in Congress can stop complaining about the ostensibly friendly relationship between President Trump and Putin and also stop agitating against Trump’s plans to allocate more money to the military.

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