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Kim And Putin: Changing The State Of The Board In Korea

The statements, views and opinions expressed in this column are solely those of the author and do not necessarily represent those of this site. This site does not give financial, investment or medical advice.

Authored by Tom Luongo:


Today is a big day for Korea. The first face-to-face summit of Russian President Vladimir Putin and North Korean Leader Kim Jong-un takes place.

At the same time the 2nd annual Belt and Road Forum kicks off in Beijing.

This meeting between Putin and Kim has been in the works for a while but rumors of it only surfaced last week. But don’t let the idea that this was put together at the last minute fool you.

It wasn’t.

The future of Korea could be decided by these two men today.

I know that sounds bold. But hear me out.

And while no one seems to think this meeting is important or that anything of substance will come from it I do. It is exactly the kind of surprise that Putin loves to spring on the world without notice and by doing so change the board state of geopolitics.

  • Russia’s entrance into Syria in 2015, two days after Putin’s historic speech at the U.N. General Assembly
  • 2018’s State of the Union address where he announced hypersonic missiles, embarrassing the U.S. Militiary-Industrial Complex which accelerated the Bolton Doctrine of subjugating the world
  • Flying 2 TU-160 nuclear-armed bombers to Venezuela, creating panic in D.C. leading to the ham-fisted regime change operations there.
  • Nationalization of Yukos.
  • The operation to secure Crimea from U.S. invasion by marines aboard the U.S.S Donald Cook during the Ukrainian uprising against Viktor Yanukovich.

Both Putin and Chinese Premier Xi Jinping are angry at the breakdown of the talks in Hanoi back in February. It was clear that everyone expected that meeting to be a rubber stamp on a deal already agreed to by all parties involved.

In fact the two meetings between Kim and Trump were only possible because Trump convinced them of his sincerity to resolve the ‘denuclearization’ of North Korea which would clear a path to rapid reunification.

It’s why they went along with the U.S.’s increased sanctions on North Korea as administered through the U.N. in 2017.

That John Bolton and Mike Pompeo destroyed those talks and Trump was unwilling or unable (who cares at this point, frankly, useless piece of crap that he is) to stop them embarrassed and betrayed them.

They are now done with Trump.

He’ll get nothing from either of them or Kim until Trump can prove he’s in charge of his administration, which he, clearly, is not.

And they will be moving forward with their own agenda for security and Asian economic integration. So I don’t think the timing of this meeting with that of the Belt and Road Forum is an accident.

And that means moving forward on solving the Korea problem without Trump.

It is clear from the rhetoric of Putin’s top diplomat, the irreplaceable Sergei Lavrov, that Russia’s patience is over. They are no longer interested in what Trump wants and they will now treat the U.S. as a threat, having upped their military stance towards the U.S. to that of “Threat.”

If Bolton wants anything from Russia at this point he best be prepared to start a war or piss off.

This is also why Russia took the gloves off with Ukraine in the run up to the Presidential elections, cutting off energy and machinery exports with Ukraine.

To put paid Putin’s growing impatience with U.S. policies, he just issued the order to allow residents of Lugansk and Donetsk People’s Republics to apply for Russian passports.

This will send Bolton into apoplexy. Angela Merkel of Germany will be none too pleased either. Putin is now playing hardball after years of unfailing politeness.

It’s also why Lavrov finalized arms and port deals all over the Middle East in recent weeks, including those with Lebanon, Egypt, Turkey and India.

Bolton, Pompeo and Pence are ideologues. Trump is a typical Baby Boomer, who lives in a bubble of his own design and believes in an America that never existed.

None of them truly understand the fires they are stoking and simply believe in the Manifest Destiny of the U.S. to rule the world over a dim and barbaric world.

Putin, Xi, Rouhani in Iran and Kim in North Korea are pragmatic men. They understand the realities they live in. This is why I see Putin willing tomorrow to sit down with Kim and flaunt the U.N. sanctions and begin the investment process into North Korea that should have begun last year.

Putin would not be making these moves if he didn’t feel that Bolton was all bark and no bite when it came to actual war with Russia. He also knows that Germany needs him more than he needs Germany so despite the feet-dragging and rhetoric Nordstream 2 will go forward.

Trade is expanding between them despite the continued sanctions.

Putin may be willing to cut a deal with President-elect Zelensky on gas transit later in the year but only if the shelling of the LPR and DPR stops and he guarantees no more incidents in the Sea of Azov. This would also mollify Merkel a bit and make it easier for her politically to get Nordstream 2 over the finish line.

There are moments in history when people go too far. Bolton and Pompeo went too far in Hanoi. He will pay the price now. Putin and Kim will likely agree to something in Vladivostok that no one is expecting and won’t look like much at first.

But the reality is this summit itself marks a turning point in this story that will end with the U.S. being, in Trump’s transactional parlance, a “price taker” since it has so thoroughly failed at being a “price maker.”

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The statements, views and opinions expressed in this column are solely those of the author and do not necessarily represent those of this site. This site does not give financial, investment or medical advice.

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Bob Valdez
Bob Valdez
April 25, 2019

Good article, Tom. Let’s hope common sense prevails.

Olivia Kroth
April 25, 2019

Great! Those two gentlemen are my favourite politicians: Vladimir Putin and Kim Jong-un. Best wishes and lots of success!

Smoking Eagle
Smoking Eagle
Reply to  Olivia Kroth
April 25, 2019

The “irreplaceable” Sergei Lavrov too!

Olivia Kroth
April 25, 2019

Putin arrives in Beijing Business & Economy April 25, 16:10 UTC+3 The Russian leader will take part in the One Belt One Road international forum BEIJING, April 25. /TASS/. Russian President Vladimir Putin has arrived in China to take part in the One Belt One Road international forum on April 26-27. Putin travelled to Beijing from Vladivostok where he held talks with North Korean leader Kim Jong-un. Putin’s working program will begin on Friday. Together with his Chinese counterpart Xi Jinping, he will speak at the opening ceremony of the forum in Beijing’s National Convention Center. The Russian leader will… Read more »

Smoking Eagle
Smoking Eagle
Reply to  Olivia Kroth
April 25, 2019

How refreshing and hopeful to see bridges built by the East instead of being destroyed by the West!

Olivia Kroth
April 25, 2019

Putin pronounces toast to Russia-North Korea friendship at reception in Kim’s honor Society & Culture April 25, 12:40 UTC+3 Putin pointed out that Russia was working hard to promote progress along the road of political and diplomatic settlement VLADIVOSTOK, April 25. /TASS/. At a special reception in honor of the North Korean leader, Kim Jong-un, Russian President Vladimir Putin pronounced a toast to stronger friendship and cooperation between the two countries. “I would like to propose a toast to the further strengthening of friendship and cooperation between Russia and the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea, to the well-being of our… Read more »

Smoking Eagle
Smoking Eagle
Reply to  Olivia Kroth
April 25, 2019

“Comrade Kim Jong-un”, eh? President Putin has often been criticized for referring to the U$ as a “partner”, but partner does not translate into “friend” in Russian, or so I am led to understand by online dictionaries. On the other hand, the same sources show “comrade” to mean “friend”, “mate”, “colleague”, or “ally”. Putin is good at choosing the words he uses with care. North Korea and Russia are neighbours and should be comrades, and they should also forget about being “partners” with that duplicitous insane nation far far away from their own neighbourhood on the opposite side of the… Read more »

Olivia Kroth
Reply to  Smoking Eagle
April 25, 2019

Just like in English, they are two different words in Russian: “Partner” is партнëр, and “comrade” is товарищ. A partner is someone you have to deal with, whether you like him or not. A comrade is someone whom you like and trust.

R2R0
R2R0
Reply to  Smoking Eagle
April 28, 2019

thanks for explain the different

Regula
Regula
April 25, 2019

Great analysis. Bolton and Pompeo made it clear that the US only wants denuclearization for the purpose of regime change and US bases in North Korea as a means to “contain”, which means attack, China. There is no way for further talks unless the US agrees to lift at least some of the U.N. imposed sanctions first. And Pompeo will of course not allow that, knowing that neither China nor Russia would ever agree to reimpose them ever again. At this point the sanctions regime is collapsing and that may well be worldwide. It will help Russia, China, Iran, Syria… Read more »

Smoking Eagle
Smoking Eagle
Reply to  Regula
April 25, 2019

Why should North Korea denuclearize when the U$ has violated the Iran nuclear agreement, nearly three years after the the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) was struck, has withdrawn from INF Treaty with Russia, and has also started to produce new “low-yield” nuclear weapons?

While the U$ ramps up its nuclear capabilities it wants other nations to reduce or eliminate theirs?

Olivia Kroth
Reply to  Smoking Eagle
April 25, 2019

If North Korea did not have nuclear weapons, it would not exist any more.

Smoking Eagle
Smoking Eagle
Reply to  Olivia Kroth
April 25, 2019

Exactly. North and South Korea would be rolled into one, and the U$ would enlarge and nuclearize its military base in South Korea and probably build a naval base in the north, right on Russia’s border. I can see Russia and China being happy about that! Kim should not trust any international “guarantees” because, as we have seen recently, they are largely meaningless. It is clear that the U.N. cannot enforce international law. The U$ has withdrawn from several international agreements and treaties over the past few years and clearly cannot be trusted to keep its word on anything. My… Read more »

Olivia Kroth
Reply to  Smoking Eagle
April 26, 2019

Very true! The UN has shown many times that it cannot guarantee international law being respected. I think that Kim Jong-un knows that, he is a smart young man, not a dupe. He will never give up North Korea’s nuclear capabilities. However, he has to get help and protection from Russia and China, so his “western partners” (ha, ha , I like that expression), wont’t swallow him.

Guy
Guy
April 25, 2019

God I hope you are correct on this one Tom. It is so way past time that president Putin and his team get serious about solving major problems caused by the US and minions.
Gods speed and let the people of the Earth breath a sigh of relief.

Tom Luongo
Reply to  Guy
April 25, 2019

You and me both, Guy. There comes a point where it’s ‘put up or shut up’ time.

Alisa B
Alisa B
April 25, 2019

Really liked this article!

Anthony Wicher
Anthony Wicher
April 26, 2019

Bolton, Pompeo and Pence
Ohe thin, one fat, one dense
These treacherous crooks
So different in looks
Make all of us equally tense!

Olivia Kroth
Reply to  Anthony Wicher
April 26, 2019

Ah, we have a poet now!
Wow!

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