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Syria days away from annihilating ISIS on the battlefield: Here’s what comes next

Here’s what Syria must do in order to keep ISIS and like-minded terrorists down.

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Mohammed Ibrahim Samra, the governor of Deir ez-Zor has stated that the Syrian Arab Army is 24 to 48 hours away from storming the gates of Deir ez-Zor city which for years has been besieged by ISIS.

Furthermore, Deir ez-Zor has subsumed the role as the major ISIS stronghold in Syria as fighters continue to flee the self-proclaimed ISIS capital of Raqqa.

While the United States and its Kurdish proxies who lead the SDF are struggling to break into Raqqa city, which is being held by approximately 2,000 ISIS terrorist fighters, Deir ez-Zor is now home to upwards of 20,000 terrorists who have arrived from liberated regions of both Iraq and Syria.

A Syrian soldier has stated,

“We carried out at dawn a successful raid against one of ISIS terrorists’ barricades in the direction of the Water Resources area through crawling and infiltrating it and throwing several bombs when we almost approached the area, killing all the terrorists at the site”.

Syria’s elite Tiger forces are now less than 3 kilometres from the city gates. With Russian Aerospace Forces consistently and successfully clearing the path for the Syrian Arab Army, the defeat of ISIS on the battle field is now a matter of when and not if and more specially, such a thing could be achieved before the end of September of this year.

The credit for the destruction of ISIS as a military unit will be legitimately earned by Syria, Russia, Iran,their volunteer partners and the Lebanese party Hezbollah.

But with the military phase of war against ISIS about to be won by Syria, the eventuality which must be planned for will be settling a peace that prevents terrorist incidents form isolated ISIS cells and lone-wolf adherents to the perverse ISIS ideology.

Syria should consider the following in order to avoid terrorism in the future.

1. Work with Russia to preserve Syria’s territorial integrity

Russia is the only party to the Syrian conflict which maintains either good or normal relations with all of the other parties including Syria’s allies: Iran, Hezbollah, Iraq as well as Syria’s adversaries: Turkey, Israel, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, the United States.

Interestingly, Russia’s relations with the US are worse than any of the aforementioned countries, but in spite of this, Russia continues to cooperate with the US on policing a de-escalation zone in south western Syria, along with Jordanian forces.

Russia has been unambiguous in its desire to see Syria’s territorial integrity preserved in the aftermath of the conflict.

In order to restore Syria’s territorial integrity, it will be necessary to secure a total withdrawal from the country of US and Turkish troops. Currently, US troops are mostly concentrated in north eastern Syria, with a few pockets remaining in the south near the Jordanian border, while Turkish forces and their proxies remain in Idlib and parts of Aleppo Governorate.

Russia’s increasingly good relationship with Turkey will prove extremely important in such matters. While Turkey has quietly dropped its support for anti-government terrorists in Syria and is primarily focusing on the legitimate threat posed to Turkish security by Kurdish forces in Syria, Turkey is still operating in Syria illegally and Syrian President Bashar al-Assad has recently stated that he still does not have any plans to mend Syria’s broken relations with Ankara.

If there is to be a peaceful withdrawal of Turkish forces or some understanding between Damascus and Ankara on the Kurdish issue, it will almost certainly fall on Russia’s diplomats to be the go-between during such initial discussions. This could also theoretically pave the way for an eventually restoration of normal relations between Turkey and Syria.

In many ways, Turkey is more ready for dialogue with Damascus than Syria is with Ankara. The reason for this is that Turkey’s original illegal actions in Syria which saw Turkey,fighting beside, arming and training terrorists, was merely an attempt by Turkey to extend influence in the Arab world by choosing what at the time looked to be the winning side.

For Turkey it was not a matter of ideology, but a matter of material, political and territorial ambition cloaked in a wider ‘Muslim Brotherhood’ style militant Sunni ideology.

Now that Turkey is aware that it in fact chose the losing side, Ankara is scrambling to redefine itself as an anti-Kurdish force in Syria rather than an anti-Syrian one.

In respect of US forces, matters are more complicated. While the US has zero legal mandate to be in Syria, there is a danger that the US might try and attain one by stealth. This could be accomplished via the unilateral declaration of a Kurdish state like entity on Syrian soil.

Here, Russia has the ability to thrash out some sort of settlement between the Kurds and Damascus, one which might also include security guarantees for Turkey, all while avoiding the creation of a Kurdish entity in Syria.

If Russia was able to manage this, it would deprive the US of even the most tentative justifications for a continued illegal presence on Syrian soil. At such a point, the US might simply cut its loses and focus on Iraq, where in spite of an Iraqi government which is increasingly anti-American, the US still technically has a legal presence. This of course assumes that the US isn’t inexorably intent on exercising more long-term menacing plans in Syria.

In respect of Syria’s allies Iran and Hezbollah, Syria has every right to develop any kind of security and cooperation deal with them that it sees fit. The trouble here is that Israel has committed multiple acts of illegal aggression against Syria due to Syria’s alliance with Iran and Hezbollah. In recent weeks, leaders of the Israeli regime have promised more such strikes against Syria.

Here, Russia too has a unique ability to draft an agreement which in theory could assuage Israeli paranoia over Syria conducting legal partnerships on her own soil. That being said, this is a tall order, but one that Russia is uniquely placed to attempt to resolve, whereas no other country can realistically say that it is in such a position.

2. Sealing the borders 

Syria has already secured much of its borders with Lebanon, Jordan and in-part, Iraq. In order to prevent any influx of foreign terrorists in the future, it will be essential for Syria to totally secure its frontiers on all sides.

Here, Turkey and Israel present the biggest problems.

While Turkey has all but given up trying to influence events in the majority Arab territories of Syria, Turkey maintains a presence along self-proclaimed Kurdish regions which all border Turkey. Here, one must refer to the previous section in respect of Russia being a go-between in order to deliver messages from Damascus to Ankara.

Since Turkey shares the largest single border with Syria and also because after Iraq, Turkey is the most popular entry point for terrorists sneaking into Syria, it is essential that Syria seals this border, something which could also benefit Turkey as it would seal off pockets of Kurdish terrorism from linking up with their brethren in parts of southern and eastern Turkey.

Israel has illegally occupied the Syrian Golan Heights since 1967. While no nation, including even the United States, recognises the illegal occupation, the nuclear armed Israel will likely not vacate the territory without a large international effort forcing Tel Aviv to obey international law. Therefore, it will be crucial for Syria to constantly monitor this region in order to prevent any penetration of Syria’s de-facto frontiers in this region.

3. Policing extremism in Sunni majority regions 

While many of the terrorists who have attempted to destroy Syria sine 2011 are foreign, others are drawn from Sunni regions of the country. While the majority of all Syrians support the government, a violent minority of Sunnis have shown various degrees of loyalty to extremist Sunni supremacist ideologies which threaten the peace of the region and the wider world.

Since 1971, Syria has had one of the most professional security services in the region, the Idarat al-Mukhabarat al-Amma. It will be necessary for the Idarat al-Mukhabarat al-Amma to heavily police regions that are susceptible to populations being brainwashed by Sunni supremacist propaganda, mainly from Saudi Arabia and its allies.

Just as Syria crushed an insurgency by the Sunni extremist terrorist group Muslim Brotherhood in 1982, Syria today, must work to effectively eradicate any lingering traces of Wahhabism/Salafism/Takfirism in the country. Anything less will mean that Syria has won the important battles, but lost the wider war for survival.

This must be done in tandem with re-development programmes to invest in infrastructural development in all parts of Syria along with education and in some cases re-education programmes to promote secular, inclusive, multi-faith Ba’athist policies. Those who oppose such a settlement should be treated by Idarat al-Mukhabarat al-Amma as instantly suspicious individuals who are potential enemies of the peace.

Unless Syria works hard to police Sunni supremacists, such people could transform from ISIS on the battlefield, into dangerous lone-wolf terrorists who could turn Syria into a state in constant danger of Wahhabi attacks.

This must never be allowed to happen and the Idarat al-Mukhabarat al-Amma is the body which must be strengthened in order to produce a military like response to any potential disturbances.

Here, Iran can help with intelligence sharing and enhanced training techniques, although it will be crucial for any Iranian presence in policing matters to be done covertly so as not to make it appear that there is a Shi’a vendetta against violent Sunnis, something which plays into the hands of Saudi style propagandists.

Conclusion: 

If Syria can accomplish these three tasks in the aftermath of what looks to be a certain defeat for ISIS and their fellow travellers, Syria can not only return to peace, but can work with economic partnership throughout the world including China, to make Syria a model of recovery after years of suffering under foreign sponsored terrorist groups.

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Voltaire
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Voltaire

Excellent analysis, Adam… You say “Syria today, must work to effectively eradicate any lingering traces of Wahhabism/Salafism/Takfirism in the country….” This is the heart of the problem and it goes far beyiond Syria…. The Saudi (and Qatari) national sect, Wahhabism, if the poison that has been spe*read by Audi billions for over 40 years now… As you know, the United States deliberately used Saudi Wahhabism to radicalise the Mujahadeen in Afghanistan to attack the Russians (and non fanatical Afghans)…. in 1979…. This Wahhabi poison has now spread to the whole Middle and Far East and even into Europe… So the… Read more »

Tim Webb
Guest
Tim Webb

F/B regime change in its spiritual home, the United Snakes.

Dorthyredison
Guest
Dorthyredison

Google is paying 97$ per hour! Work for few hours and have longer with friends & family!!!
On tuesday I got a great new Land Rover Range Rover from having earned $8752 this last four weeks.. Its the most-financialy rewarding I’ve had.. It sounds unbelievable but you wont forgive yourself if you don’t check it
>>>http://GoogleFinancialJobsCash370TopOne/GetPay$97/Hour..

Tim Webb
Guest
Tim Webb

“Dorothy” has exactly the same picture as “Mary Philips” and another female whose name I have forgotten, who always seem to manage to buy exactly the same car with the money they are earning.
If it sounds unbelievable, it probably is.

tapatio
Guest
tapatio

They’re all probably the same offshore scammer/group of scammers. All it takes is a FB acccount>Disqus account>Adverts-as-comments = some ignorant readers out their money/personal information.
(my oldest daughter is a security guru at Microslop).

tapatio
Guest
tapatio

Actually the “spiritual home” lies in Buckinghamshire and works on St. Swithins Lane in London…………Rothschild & Co. – the parent corporation of everything from the Federal Reserve (a PRIVATE bank) to your neighborhood title loan/check cashing shop (90% of which are owned by major banks – whose controlling shareholders are – the Rothschilds).

Tim Webb
Guest
Tim Webb

I’ll go with that.

tapatio
Guest
tapatio

TY

Ronald
Guest
Ronald

Very well spoken , “This cannot be said often enough ” .
Now what can be done to neutralize those 40 years of Wahhabism / Salafistism / Takfirism , not only in Syria , but in every nation .

tapatio
Guest
tapatio

Destroy the head of that snake – the predatory capitalists who profit from Wahhabism/Salafistism/Takfirism/Talmudism/Zionism/Nazism/Communism and the other related -isms. They are ALL tools in the capitalist kit.

tapatio
Guest
tapatio

Entirely correct. BUT……….the important regime changes are in Washington and in the eradication of predatory capitalism, as represented by the creature below (which also owns Washington and Riyadh)………………….
comment image

Tim Webb
Guest
Tim Webb

Fascinating how Mr Burns looks exactly like this individual.

tapatio
Guest
tapatio

Jacob Rothschild has been the model for “Greedy Jew” for at least the last 40 years. He was the model for Mr. Burns.

Gavin Allen
Guest
Gavin Allen

“The credit for the destruction of ISIS as a military unit will be legitimately earned by Syria, Russia, Iran,their volunteer partners and the Lebanese party Hezbollah” – absolute nonsense. The YPG have done more than all of those put together. “While the United States and its Kurdish proxies who lead the SDF are struggling to break into Raqqa city” – pathetic garbage. SDF are doing a great job in Raqqa. And Kurdish forces are not US proxies. “the legitimate threat posed to Turkish security by Kurdish forces in Syria” – So, democracy in Syria is a “threat” to Turkey? You’re… Read more »

Avramijevdan
Guest
Avramijevdan

Your people and their leadership have choice. Continue carving Syria and continue using USAdistia for that purpose or calmly state you don’t intend carving Syria and you don’t intend controlling her borders with Turkey. In other words either join Syria, Russia and Iran or be ready for (yet another) rude awakening which will inevitably follow should you continue your work on a new a state against all involved states in the region.

GeorgeG
Guest
GeorgeG

Mr. Allen, You sound like an antifa propagandist. Are you? — Whatever: Your ethnicity/identity politics diatribe serves to underscore why Syria, under any government, would not accept the imposition of a non-viable Kuridsh-state entity.

Screwloose
Guest
Screwloose

Looks like a JTRIGS troll.

GeorgeG
Guest
GeorgeG

Please unravel. I am a bit acronym-challenged. My German Wikipedia tells me me: Joint Threat Research Intelligence Group (JTRIG), specializing in “dirty tricks” such as generating false information (fake news?) and denouncing adversaries with such. Is that your JTRIGS?

Screwloose
Guest
Screwloose

Yep; that’s them. A grubby little subdivision of the UK’s GCHQ. (‘Government Communications Headquarters’ in Cheltenham.)

They’re a tedious nuisance on many platforms – usually trying to defend the false narratives spun by the Nato lie-machine. Their desperate attempts to inject false facts into the MH-17 newsflow was both obvious and laughable.

GeorgeG
Guest
GeorgeG

Tip my hat: you fish with finer meshed nets than I have. Such a pretentious name. Makes it sound as if they would have some professional standards. — Let’s see where Mr. Allen’s “trigger” is, if he has one: is he JTRIGS or is he made-in-usa antifa/transgender embed (horrible thought) with the SDF, or is there a joint venture?

I really liked the story about the Kurdish airforce.

Suzanne Giraud
Guest
Suzanne Giraud

“Kurdish airforce”: good laugh, thank you.

tapatio
Guest
tapatio

The Kurdish Air Force actually exists – thanks to a very sudden gift from Washington. I’m sure that there are Kurds who are allowed to wash the windshields on their American/Israeli flown planes – which invariably attacked SAA (Syrian) positions instead of the Zio/US/Saudi terrorists.

Suzanne Giraud
Guest
Suzanne Giraud

Thank you for the update.

tapatio
Guest
tapatio

YW

tapatio
Guest
tapatio

Hasbarats are their twins…………
comment image

tapatio
Guest
tapatio

Nah, just a hasbarat…………

Seán Murphy
Guest
Seán Murphy

What a load of deluded nonsense! Moron.

Suzanne Giraud
Guest
Suzanne Giraud

bet it’s Yid

tapatio
Guest
tapatio

It is………their writing style betrays their training.

Tim Webb
Guest
Tim Webb

I have always maintained that the destruction visited upon ISIS by the Kurdish Air Force has been wrongly attributed to the Russians, who as we know, are constantly inebriated, and incapable of climbing into an aeroplane, still less using it to drop bombs on terrorists.

Shahna
Guest

Psst. “Kurdish land” in Syria is SYRIA!
And yes they are US proxies – whether or not they remain so or remember they are SYRIANS is up to them.

People who take up arms against their own govt and use those arms to shoot fellow CIVILIANS are TERRORISTS. They don’t get a free ride just because they are Kurds.

YOU, Mister, are the imbecile!
The very idea that just the Kurds have done more to liberate Syria than Syria, Russia, Iran and Hezbollah combined is simply delusional.

tapatio
Guest
tapatio

Ah, little Gavin……….are you a hasbarat or simply a fool who adores Fox NoNews?

The Kurds are a TRIBE……EXF**KING-XACTLY AS THE JEWS ARE A TRIBE. Neither is a “nation” or anything resembling a nation. The Kurds are NOTHING but a political football of the Jews and their minions.

The Kurds have had NOTHING to do with the defeat of the Zio/US/Saud mercenary terrorists. That was 100% an accomplishment of Syria, Russia, Hezbollah and Iran.

seby
Guest
seby

wahhabism/salafism/takfirism (never to be written in upper case) will end when US imperialism ends.

Let’s hope for the sake of the planet, that day isn’t that far off.

tapatio
Guest
tapatio

Sorry, but those diseases will end when the Zionist-Talmudic Disease is eradicated……….”ahhabism/salafism/takfirism” are mere spin-offs of the primary disease.

They existed long before the Rothschilds discovered their lust for oil/gas. But, mainstream Islam slapped them down whenever they became visible. The Rothschilds, however, found those minor diseases complimented the disease carried by Judaism.

seby
Guest
seby

How’s the weather today in tel aviv?

tapatio
Guest
tapatio

What are you talking about? I’m on the US Pacific coast and I would NEVER enter a Jew state.

seby
Guest
seby

The Palestinian people don’t have your luxury of choice. The iron heel of zionism has stepped on them for far too long now.

Yes, I am calling you an agent provocateur with your kindergarten political anulysis and armchair/keyboard activity. You’re a zionist’s wet dream. They need nutters like you to obfuscate things and pursue their evil designs.

It’s bad enough being called an anti-Semite for criticizing the racist, apartheid state of israel and its actions by people who cant tell the difference between a German and a nazi!

Good riddance. I don’t need to read your cointelpro farts.

tapatio
Guest
tapatio

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Tom Welsh
Guest
Tom Welsh

Good article! Thank you. I must say I disagree with this: “…Iraq, where in spite of an Iraqi government which is increasingly anti-American, the US still technically has a legal presence…” As far as I know, the USA does NOT have a legal presence in Iraq. Its current status is that of “occupying power”, but that status derives from the Second Gulf War which was itself completely illegal. There was no UN mandate for the invasion of Iraq, nor had Iraq declared war on the USA. Consequently, the US invasion of Iraq was a flagrant violation of the UN Charter… Read more »

Terry Ross
Guest
Terry Ross

To Ed: “This could be accomplished via the unilateral deceleration declaration of a Kurdish state like entity on Syrian soil.”

Tim Webb
Guest
Tim Webb

Noticed these solecisms too, Terry!
My feeling is that Adam records his thoughts, and then a low-level operative types them out, hence the bizarre spelling mistakes and word changes.

Screwloose
Guest
Screwloose

Or is he using a glitch-ridden verbal transcription algorithm..?

A lot of the constantly-annoying typos are homophones or possibly auto-corrected misheard words – like the infamous ‘Basaltic Missiles’.

Either way; proper proof-reading is a necessity – or the fate of the Grauniad beckons…

Tim Webb
Guest
Tim Webb

Tend to agree.
I’ve heard Adam speaking in interviews, and he is extremely compelling, and a joy to listen to, and very knowledgeable.
So it lets the side down if he allows these badly-written pieces to get to air.

Shahna
Guest

Then perhaps Mr Garrie should have his work proofread before publishing?
The errors make Mr Garrie look half literate…. not the typing pool.

Tim Webb
Guest
Tim Webb

I am inclined to agree with you.

GeorgeG
Guest
GeorgeG

Syria-Russia-Iran conflict with the US is just around the corner. In the context of US seizure of Russian diplomatic properties, US incapacity to accept the Iran deal, US targetting both China and Russia via N. Korea, US refusal to accept its having lost in Afghanistan, US determination to not only destabilize Venezuela but also to declare China’s and Russia’s involvment in South America a threat to US strategic interests (just wait, it’s coming), the US narrative about “cooperating” with Russia in Syria will likwise soon evaporate. “Cooperation” in the US narrative simply means not doing anything the Russians will not… Read more »

Shahna
Guest

“US targetting both China and Russia via N. Korea,”
————–
Haha – they think they are,
But those Yanks really should learn the Diplomatic Tango.
That one’s a threesome and they’re being taken for a ride.

7awmee7
Guest
7awmee7

Let me join you in this prayer for peace my dear DURAN. May President Putin win and the whole world will benefit peace including NKorea .

Gonzogal
Guest
Gonzogal

Adam, you forgot to mention the COMPLETE withdrawal of the US and its forces – regular AND paid mercenaries e.g. Blackwater etc from within the territory of Syria’s international borders….without which they will continue to OCCUPY Syria. This should be done under the auspices of the UN (I know…almost zero chance)

Shahna
Guest

Great!
Yanks, Yids and Flightless Birds – OUT!

James Johnson
Guest
James Johnson

Our war lords (US) have certainly made a wreck out of every one’s lives

Daisy Adler
Guest
Daisy Adler

Latest News:
A Russian warship in the Mediterranean Sea has fired a salvo of Kalibr cruise missiles at a group of jihadists stationed near the city of Deir ez-Zor in western Syria, the Russian military reported. Dozens of terrorists were eliminated, as well as ISIS command posts, a communications center, arms and ammunition depots were destroyed in the vicinity of Deir ez-Zor. The effectivenes of the missile strike was confirmed by UAV reconnaissance.

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BREXIT chaos, as May’s cabinet crumbles (Video)

The Duran Quick Take: Episode 18.

Alex Christoforou

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The Duran’s Alex Christoforou and Editor-in-Chief Alexander Mercouris take a quick look at the various scenarios now facing a crumbling May government, as the Brexit Withdrawal Agreement is forcing cabinet members to resign in rapid succession. The weekend ahead is fraught with uncertainty for the UK and its position within, or outside, the European Union.

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If Theresa May’s ill-fated Brexit Withdrawal Agreement is eventually rejected this could trigger a vote of no confidence, snap elections or even a new referendum…

Here are six possible scenarios facing Theresa May and the UK (via The Guardian)

1 Parliament blocks Theresa May’s draft withdrawal agreement and political declarations

May faces an enormous task to win parliamentary approval, given that Labour, the SNP, the DUP and 51 Tories have said they will not vote for it.

If the remaining 27 EU member states sign off the draft agreement on 25 November, the government will have to win over MPs at a crucial vote in early December.

If May loses the vote, she has 21 days to put forward a new plan. If she wins, she is safe for now.

2 May withdraws the current draft agreement

The prime minister could decide that she will not get the draft agreement through parliament and could seek to renegotiate with the EU.

This would anger Tory backbenchers and Brussels and would be seen as a humiliation for her government. It might spark a leadership contest too.

3 Extend article 50

May could ask the European council to extend article 50, giving her more time to come up with a deal that could be passed by parliament – at present, the UK will leave on 29 March 2019.

Such a request would not necessarily be granted. Some EU governments are under pressure from populist parties to get the UK out of the EU as soon as possible.

4 Conservative MPs trigger a vote of no confidence in the prime minister

If Conservative MPs believe May is no longer fit for office, they could trigger a no-confidence vote.

Members of the European Research Group claim that Graham Brady, the chair of the powerful 1922 Committee, will receive the necessary 48 letters this week.

A vote could be held as soon as early next week. All Tory MPs would be asked to vote for or against their leader. If May wins, she cannot be challenged for at least 12 months. If she loses, there would be a leadership contest to decide who will become prime minister.

5 General election – three possible routes

If May fails to get support for the current deal, she could call a snap general election.

She would table a parliamentary vote for a general election that would have to be passed by two thirds of MPs. She would then set an election date, which could be by the end of January.

This is an unlikely option. May’s political credibility was severely damaged when she called a snap election in 2017, leading to the loss of the Conservative party’s majority.

Alternatively, a general election could be called if a simple majority of MPs vote that they have no confidence in the government. Seven Tory MPs, or all of the DUP MPs, would have to turn against the government for it to lose the vote, triggering a two-week cooling-off period. May would remain in office while MPs negotiate a new government.

Another route to a general election would be for the government to repeal or amend the Fixed-term Parliaments Act which creates a five-year period between general elections. A new act would have to be passed through both the Commons and the Lords – an unlikely scenario.

6 Second referendum

May could decide it is impossible to find a possible draft deal that will be approved by parliament and go for a people’s vote.

The meaningful vote could be amended to allow MPs to vote on whether the country holds a second referendum. It is unclear whether enough MPs would back a second referendum and May has ruled it out.

 

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Brexit Withdrawal Agreement may lead to Theresa May’s downfall (Video)

The Duran – News in Review – Episode 151.

Alex Christoforou

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The Brexit Withdrawal Agreement has been published and as many predicted, including Nigel Farage, the document is leading to the collapse of Theresa May’s government.

During an interview with iTV’s Piers Morgan, remain’s Alistair Campell and leave’s Nigel Farage, were calling May’s Brexit deal a complete disaster.

Via iTV

Alastair Campbell: “This doesn’t do remotely what was offered…what is the point”

“Parliament is at an impasse”

“We have to go back to the people” …”remain has to be on the ballot paper”

Nigel Farage:

“This is the worst deal in history. We are giving away in excess of 40B pounds in return for precisely nothing. Trapped still inside the European Union’s rulebook.

“Nothing has been achieved.”

“In any negotiation in life…the other side need to know that you are serious about walking away.”

“What monsieur Barnier knew from day one, is that at no point did Theresa May intend to walk away.”

“Fundamental matter of trust to the electors of our country and those who govern us.”

The Duran’s Alex Christoforou and Editor-in-Chief Alexander Mercouris discuss Theresa May’s Brexit Withdrawal Agreement, and why the deal is a full on victory for the European Union and a document of subjugation for the United Kingdom.

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Coming in at 585 pages, the draft agreement will be closely scrutinized over the coming days but here are some of the highlights as outlined by Zerohedge

  • UK and EU to use the best endeavours to supersede Ireland protocol by 2020
  • UK can request extension of the transition period any time before July 1st, 2020
  • EU, UK See Level-Playing Field Measures in Future Relationship
  • Transition period may be extended once up to date yet to be specified in the text
  • EU and UK shall establish single customs territory and Northern Ireland is in same customs territory as Great Britain

The future relationship document is less than seven pages long. It says the U.K. and EU are seeking a free-trade area with cooperation on customs and rules: “Comprehensive arrangements creating a free trade area combining deep regulatory and customs cooperation, underpinned by provisions ensuring a level playing field for open and fair competition.”

The wording might raise concerns among Brexiters who don’t want regulatory cooperation and the measures on fair competition could amount to shackling the U.K. to EU rules.

As Bloomberg’s Emma Ross-Thomas writes, “There’s a clear sense in the documents that we’re heading for a customs union in all but name. Firstly via the Irish backstop, and then via the future relationship.”

Separately, a government summary of the draft agreement suggests role for parliament in deciding whether to extend the transition or to move in to the backstop.

But perhaps most importantly, regarding the controversial issue of the Irish border, the future relationship document says both sides aim to replace the so-called backstop – the thorniest issue in the negotiations – with a “subsequent agreement that establishes alternative arrangements for ensuring the absence of a hard border on the island of Ireland on a permanent footing.”

On this topic, recall that the U.K.’s fear was of being locked into the backstop arrangement indefinitely in the absence of a broader trade deal. The draft agreement includes a review process to try to give reassurance that the backstop would never be needed. Basically, the U.K. could choose to seek an extension to the transition period – where rules stay the same as they are currently – or opt to trigger the backstop conditions. In fact, as Bloomberg notes, the word “backstop,” which has been a sticking point over the Irish border for weeks, is mentioned only once in the text.

As Bloomberg further adds, the withdrawal agreement makes clear that the U.K. will remain in a single customs area with the EU until there’s a solution reached on the Irish border. It’s what Brexiteers hate, because it makes it more difficult for the U.K. to sign its own free-trade deals, which they regard as a key prize of Brexit.

Predictably, EU Commission President Juncker said decisive progress has been made in negotiations.

Meanwhile, as analysts comb over the documents, Jacob Rees-Mogg, chairman of the European Research Group, has already written to Conservative lawmakers urging them to vote against the deal. He says:

  • May is handing over money for “little or nothing in return”
  • The agreement treats Northern Ireland differently from the rest of the U.K.
  • It will “lock” the U.K. into a customs union with the EU
  • It breaks the Tory election manifesto of 2017

The full document…

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4 resignations and counting: May’s government ‘falling apart before our eyes’ over Brexit deal

The beginning of the end for Theresa May’s government.

The Duran

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Via RT


Four high profile resignations have followed on the heels of Theresa May’s announcement that her cabinet has settled on a Brexit deal, with Labour claiming that the Conservative government is at risk of completely dissolving.

Shailesh Vara, the Minister of State at the Northern Ireland Office was the first top official to resign after the prime minister announced that her cabinet had reached a draft EU withdrawal agreement.

An hour after his announcement, Brexit Secretary Dominic Raab – the man charged with negotiating and finalizing the deal – said he was stepping down, stating that the Brexit deal in its current form suffers from deep flaws. Esther McVey, Secretary of State for Work and Pensions, submitted her letter of resignation shortly afterwards. More resignations have followed.

Labour’s shadow Cabinet Office minister, Jon Trickett, predicted that this is the beginning of the end for May’s government.

The government is falling apart before our eyes as for a second time the Brexit secretary has refused to back the prime minister’s Brexit plan. This so-called deal has unraveled before our eyes

Shailesh Vara: UK to be stuck in ‘a half-way house with no time limit’

Kicking off Thursday’s string of resignations, Vara didn’t mince words when describing his reservations about the cabinet-stamped Brexit deal.

Theresa May’s EU withdrawal agreement leaves the UK in a “halfway house with no time limit on when we will finally become a sovereign nation,” his letter of resignation states. Vara went on to warn that the draft agreement leaves a number of critical issues undecided, predicting that it “will take years to conclude” a trade deal with the bloc.

“We will be locked in a customs arrangement indefinitely, bound by rules determined by the EU over which we have no say,” he added.

Dominic Raab: Deal can’t be ‘reconciled’ with promises made to public

Announcing his resignation on Thursday morning, Brexit Secretary Dominic Raab tweeted: “I cannot in good conscience support the terms proposed for our deal with the EU.”

Raab claimed that the deal in its current form gives the EU veto power over the UK’s ability to annul the deal.

No democratic nation has ever signed up to be bound by such an extensive regime.

Former Conservative Party leader Iain Duncan Smith said that Raab’s resignation as Brexit secretary is “devastating” for May.

“It sounds like he has been ignored,” he told the BBC.

Raab’s departure will undoubtedly encourage other Brexit supporters to question the deal, political commentators have observed.

Esther McVey: Deal ‘does not honor’ Brexit referendum

Work and Pensions Secretary Esther McVey didn’t hold back when issuing her own letter of resignation. According to McVey, the deal “does not honour” the result of the Brexit referendum, in which a majority of Brits voted to leave the European Union.

Suella Braverman: ‘Unable to sincerely support’ deal

Suella Braverman, a junior minister in Britain’s Brexit ministry, issued her resignation on Thursday, saying that she couldn’t stomach the deal.

“I now find myself unable to sincerely support the deal agreed yesterday by cabinet,” she said in a letter posted on Twitter.

Suella Braverman, MP Parliamentary Under Secretary of State for the Department for Exiting the EU © Global Look Press / Joel Goodman
Braverman said that the deal is not what the British people voted for, and threatened to tear the country apart.

“It prevents an unequivocal exit from a customs union with the EU,” she said.

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