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A Marine Le Pen victory in France could help solve the Brexit problem

If Marine Le Pen wins, Brexit may be reduced to a storm in a teacup. There are indeed historical examples which ought to instruct British law makers to expect the unexpected.




With the increasingly relevant French presidential elections to have their second round of balloting on the 7th of May 2017, the British government ought to pause any hysterical movements on Brexit. It’s been nearly six months since British voters decided to leave the EU on the 23rd of June, and since no one in the government seems yet to have a clue as to what they are doing, the best advice one could give, is to quietly put things on pause until the French elections are over.

As a Le Pen victory looks increasingly likely, realities in France could more or less make Britain’s mind up for Britain. In other words, if Le Pen wins, within two years (the maximum allowed time of a post-Article 50 Brexit withdrawal), there may not even be an EU to Brexit from.

The assumption that Le Pen will not win in the second round of voting is far from assured. Her victory would make Britain’s life a lot easier. Brexit would go from being an EU versus Britain issue into an issue which would divide all current members of the EU between those like Angela Merkel, who ultimately favour a United States of Europe and those like Le Pen, who would doubtlessly be joined by others, including those on the left, favouring a more confederate relationship between European states.

The current antagonism between EU leaders and Britain may well end up being a sideshow, a storm in a teacup which represents little more than a prelude to a wider philosophical and political debate on the future of Europe.

If France is led by a committed Eurosceptic, it will make the soft and frankly insincere Euroscepticism of many front-bench Conservative politicians in Britain look feeble at best.

If France and Britain stand in opposition to the German position on Europe, others will also join in, whether it be the vocal Eurosceptic parties of The Netherlands or conservative parties from eastern Europe, many of whom (with the exception of Hungary) favour the anti-Russian polices of the Brussels/Berlin establishment but tend to resent many elements of the Germanic/Benelux economic policies which govern EU thinking in addition to full federal political union.

When it comes to making false assumptions about questions of unity in Europe, Britain’s politicians would be wise to study the history of the divided German states after 1945. In 1952, Stalin wrote a series of four notes to the other three allied powers of the war, the US, UK and France. In these notes, he proposed to settle the German question once and for all.

His proposals for a united German state were incredibly generous by the standards of the West’s own ideals and ambitions. Stalin was willing to cooperate on German reunification and was willing to allow any form of government on the basis of independent, free elections. He did not seek to impose a communist economic system on this proposed united Germany. All he asked is that a united Germany would be demilitarised and officially neutral in foreign affairs.

Similar agreements occurred in Austria. In fact, the model that Stalin suggested for a united Germany differed little to the eventual settlement in Austria, wherein Austria would be allowed to conduct its independent affairs complete with a Western-aligned capitalist system, so long as the government remained neutral in the ‘Cold War’ and did not act as a military aggressor in any sense. Such sentiments were guaranteed in the then new Austrian constitution.

As a result Austria remained generally peaceful and prosperous in the latter portion of the 20th century.

Opposition to Stalin’s proposals came from unexpected places. The Americans actually took the proposals far more seriously than one might have imagined, and many in the US thought that the proposals represented a good compromise option.

It was instead the CDU government of Konrad Adenauer who was most skeptical of the Soviet proposals.

The DFR (West Germany) had it rather good after the war. American Marshall Plan money flowed in and the US desire to use both West Berlin and West Germany as a whole, as a kind of show room of the American way to the rest of the world, played into Adenauer’s plans to pull off a ‘German miracle’…more accurately referred to as a Marshall Plan miracle.

Adenauer’s personal ambition of leading a small but wealthy state, took precedence over the vaguer notion of a peaceful and united Germany. This was indeed the case with many West German leaders who happily paid lip-service to a ‘united Germany’, but were unwilling to lose the generous American aid and international attention that would come as a consequence of Austrian style neutrality.

This whole fracas over the Stalin notes, reminds one of the somewhat crude, but ultimately accurate joke that the cleverest thing the Austrians did was convince the world that Beethoven was Austrian and Hitler was German.

Contemporary British leadership ought to realise that European politics often shifts in unusual directions and that European leaders do not always mean what they say, more so than those from other parts in the world in many respects.

By stalling for time and waiting to see if Marine Le Pen wins in France, British incompetence over Brexit may ironically work in the favour of British lawmakers.

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Surprise, Surprise! Another Brett Kavanaugh Sexual Assault Allegation! (Video)

Democrats will use this Social Justice tactic on every nomination and election.

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Via Stefan Molyneux

Surprise, Surprise! Fresh off the spineless Republicans delaying the confirmation vote for Supreme Court Nominee Brett Kavanaugh – the Judge has been accused of yet another sexual assault claim of questionable authenticity. Apparently during the 1983-84 academic school year, Kavanaugh ‘exposed himself’ to classmate Deborah Ramirez while she was heavily intoxicated – or so she thinks so, despite admitted gaps in her memory and no additional eyewitnesses.

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White House Releases Late Night Push Back to New Yorker Hit on Kavanaugh

Ramirez recalls “a penis being in front of my face,” and that despite being incredibly drunk, someone encouraging her to “kiss it.”

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Via The Gateway Pundit

The White House released a late night response to the New Yorker hit piece by Ronan Farrow and Jane Mayer on Supreme Court nominee Brett Kavanaugh in which a Yale classmate alleged, without eyewitness corroboration, that Kavanaugh exposed himself to her face at a drunken college dorm party decades ago. Kavanaugh issued a statement denying the accusation.

Latest Kavanaugh accuser, Yale classmate Deborah Ramirez.

The White House statement highlights multiple details from the article that undermine the accusation.

Reporters have posted a copy to Twitter, one of them CNN’s Kaitlan Collins.

Full image and text posted below.


“This alleged event from 35 years ago did not happen. The people who knew me then know that this did not happen, and have said so. This is a smear, plain and simple. I look forward to testifying on Thursday about the truth, and defending my good name—and the reputation for character and integrity I have spent a lifetime building—against these last-minute allegations.” – Judge Brett Kavanaugh

The accuser, Deborah Ramirez, admits in The New Yorker’s piece that there were “significant gaps” in her memories about the event. 

  • “She was at first hesitant to speak publicly, partly because her memories contained gaps because she had been drinking at the time of the alleged incident.”
  • “Ramirez acknowledged that there are significant gaps in her memories of the evening…”

By The New Yorker’s own admission, Ramirez was reluctant to speak with certainty on the allegation. 

  • “In her initial conversations with The New Yorker, she was reluctant to characterize Kavanaugh’s role in the alleged incident with certainty.”

It took six days of “assessing her memories” for Ramirez to say she recalled Kavanaugh committing the alleged incident, and that came only after consulting with an attorney provided by the Democrats. 

  • “After six days of carefully assessing her memories and consulting with her attorney, Ramirez said that she felt confident enough of her recollections…”
  • “Senate aides from Ramirez’s home state of Colorado alerted a lawyer, Stanley Garnett, a former Democratic district attorney in Boulder, who currently represents her.”

The New Yorker admits it has not confirmed through eyewitnesses Kavanaugh was even present at the party and other students who knew Kavanaugh said they never heard of the incident. 

  • The New Yorker has not confirmed with other eyewitnesses that Kavanaugh was present at the party.”
  • “In a statement, two of those male classmates who Ramirez alleged were involved in the incident, the wife of a third male student she said was involved, and three other classmates, Dino Ewing, Louisa Garry, and Dan Murphy, disputed Ramirez’s account of events…”
  • “We were the people closest to Brett Kavanaugh during his first year at Yale. He was a roommate to some of us, and we spent a great deal of time with him, including in the dorm where this incident allegedly took place.”
  • “Some of us were also friends with Debbie Ramirez during and after her time at Yale. We can say with confidence that if the incident Debbie alleges ever occurred, we would have seen or heard about it—and we did not.”

Further, those classmates said that the allegations in the story would be completely out of character for Kavanaugh.  

  • “The behavior she describes would be completely out of character for Brett.”

A former student who was best friends with Ramirez said she never told her about the incident despite how close they were. 

  • “The former friend who was married to the male classmate alleged to be involved, and who signed the statement, said of Ramirez, ‘This is a woman I was best friends with. We shared intimate details of our lives. And I was never told this story by her, or by anyone else. It never came up. I didn’t see it; I never heard of it happening.’”

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US Will Be “Defenseless” Against New Russian Nuclear Sub Equipped With Hypersonic Missiles

The hypersonic nuclear submarine is not the only super-weapon that Russia is preparing to add to its arsenal.



Via Zerohedge

The Soviet-era arms race between the US and Russia is officially back on.

To wit, Moscow is reportedly building a fleet of nuclear submarines armed with hypersonic ICBMs capable of delivering a nuclear payload ten times larger than the bomb dropped on Hiroshima, according to CNBC, which cited a US intelligence report on the new weapons. Russian President Vladimir Putin hinted at six new super weapons during a speech back in March where he also revealed that Russia is working on a nuclear missile capable of evading NATO’s ring of ABM defenses.

The new Borei II submarine, also known as the Borei-A, is a fourth-generation nuclear-powered ballistic missile submarine that will reportedly join the Russian Navy’s Northern and Pacific Fleets once it’s completed in 2024, according to the report. Each sub can carry up to 20 Bulava intercontinental ballistic missiles, which can deliver a nuclear payload of 100 to 150 kilotons. The sub will be the first new Russian sub developed in the post-Soviet era.

What’s worse is that, as of now, the US doesn’t possess adequate defenses to protect against Bulava missiles.

What’s more, unlike a traditional missile, which carries one warhead, the Bulava missile is capable of carrying up to 10 nuclear and hypersonic weapons on its tip. That means one Borei II submarine could potentially launch 200 hypersonic weapons, a threat the U.S. is currently unable to defend against.

A hypersonic weapon can travel at Mach 5 or higher, which is at least five times faster than the speed of sound. This means that a hypersonic threat can travel about one mile per second.

Back in March, Putin showed a digital representation of how one of Russia’s new weapons could evade ABM defenses by traveling high into the stratosphere. The Russian president also criticized the US and NATO for forcing Russia to resort to these weapons. He also dared any of Russia’s geopolitical rivals to call the country weak.

“I want to tell all those who have fueled the arms race over the last 15 years, sought to win unilateral advantages over Russia, introduced unlawful sanctions aimed to contain our country’s development: You have failed to contain Russia,” Putin said during his March national address.

A hypersonic weapon can travel at Mach five or faster, which means it is five times faster than the speed of sound, traveling at about one mile per second.

And the new sub isn’t the only super-weapon that Russia is preparing to add to its arsenal. Of the six weapons Putin unveiled at his speech earlier this year, CNBC reported that two of them will be ready for war by 2020.

“We don’t have any defense that could deny the employment of such a weapon against us,” Air Force Gen. John Hyten, commander of U.S. Strategic Command, told the Senate Armed Services Committee in March, following Putin’s comments.

With this in mind, perhaps Democrats in Congress can stop complaining about the ostensibly friendly relationship between President Trump and Putin and also stop agitating against Trump’s plans to allocate more money to the military.

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